IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/chsofr/v160y2022ics0960077922004040.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Dynamical aspects of a delayed epidemic model with subdivision of susceptible population and control strategies

Author

Listed:
  • Zhang, Zizhen
  • Rahman, Ghaus ur
  • Gómez-Aguilar, J.F.
  • Torres-Jiménez, J.

Abstract

A delay epidemic model is developed, with the susceptible population divided into three subclasses. In the main model, the well-known “Michaelis Menten Equation” is utilized to represent the effect of saturation. Infected, unaware, partially aware, and fully conscious compartments are included in the saturation incidence rates. The model includes a time delay to demonstrate the occurrence of Hopf Bifurcation. Following the formulation of a delay epidemic model, the local stability and the presence of Hopf bifurcation are investigated. The direction and stability of the Hopf bifurcation are then investigated. Furthermore, the Nyquist criterion is used to estimate the length of the time delay in order to maintain stability. An example is also presented to highlight the current research work's findings. Finally, appropriate control techniques are introduced to aid policymakers in disease control. The “Pontryagin's maximum principle” is the major tool utilized in the optimal control part.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhang, Zizhen & Rahman, Ghaus ur & Gómez-Aguilar, J.F. & Torres-Jiménez, J., 2022. "Dynamical aspects of a delayed epidemic model with subdivision of susceptible population and control strategies," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:160:y:2022:i:c:s0960077922004040
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2022.112194
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960077922004040
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.chaos.2022.112194?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Miao Ouyang & Yongping Zhang, 2019. "Julia Sets and Their Control of Discrete Fractional SIRS Models," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2019, pages 1-10, June.
    2. Abdelaziz, Mahmoud A.M. & Ismail, Ahmad Izani & Abdullah, Farah A. & Mohd, Mohd Hafiz, 2020. "Codimension one and two bifurcations of a discrete-time fractional-order SEIR measles epidemic model with constant vaccination," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    3. Wang, Yi & Cao, Jinde & Jin, Zhen & Zhang, Haifeng & Sun, Gui-Quan, 2013. "Impact of media coverage on epidemic spreading in complex networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(23), pages 5824-5835.
    4. Bai, Zhenguo & Wu, Shi-Liang, 2015. "Traveling waves in a delayed SIR epidemic model with nonlinear incidence," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 263(C), pages 221-232.
    5. Sharma, Natasha & Gupta, Arvind Kumar, 2017. "Impact of time delay on the dynamics of SEIR epidemic model using cellular automata," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 471(C), pages 114-125.
    6. Annas, Suwardi & Isbar Pratama, Muh. & Rifandi, Muh. & Sanusi, Wahidah & Side, Syafruddin, 2020. "Stability analysis and numerical simulation of SEIR model for pandemic COVID-19 spread in Indonesia," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    7. Greenhalgh, David & Rana, Sourav & Samanta, Sudip & Sardar, Tridip & Bhattacharya, Sabyasachi & Chattopadhyay, Joydev, 2015. "Awareness programs control infectious disease – Multiple delay induced mathematical model," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 251(C), pages 539-563.
    8. Xu, Changyong & Li, Xiaoyue, 2018. "The threshold of a stochastic delayed SIRS epidemic model with temporary immunity and vaccination," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 227-234.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Das, Tanuja & Srivastava, Prashant K., 2023. "Effect of a novel generalized incidence rate function in SIR model: Stability switches and bifurcations," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yao Hongxing & Zou Yushi, 2019. "Research on Rumor Spreading Model with Time Delay and Control Effect," Journal of Systems Science and Information, De Gruyter, vol. 7(4), pages 373-389, August.
    2. Han, Dun & Sun, Mei, 2014. "Can memory and conformism resolve the vaccination dilemma?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 415(C), pages 95-104.
    3. Sharma, Natasha & Verma, Atul Kumar & Gupta, Arvind Kumar, 2021. "Spatial network based model forecasting transmission and control of COVID-19," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 581(C).
    4. Talal Daghriri & Michael Proctor & Sarah Matthews, 2022. "Evolution of Select Epidemiological Modeling and the Rise of Population Sentiment Analysis: A Literature Review and COVID-19 Sentiment Illustration," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(6), pages 1-20, March.
    5. Roy, Souvik, 2019. "A study on delay-sensitive cellular automata," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 515(C), pages 600-616.
    6. El Fatini, Mohamed & Sekkak, Idriss, 2020. "Lévy noise impact on a stochastic delayed epidemic model with Crowly–Martin incidence and crowding effect," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 541(C).
    7. Xin, Li & Xi, Chen & Sagir, Mujgan & Wenbo, Zhang, 2023. "How can infectious medical waste be forecasted and transported during the COVID-19 pandemic? A hybrid two-stage method," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    8. Marinca, Bogdan & Marinca, Vasile & Bogdan, Ciprian, 2021. "Dynamics of SEIR epidemic model by optimal auxiliary functions method," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    9. Das, Ayan Kumar & Kalam, Sidra & Kumar, Chiranjeev & Sinha, Ditipriya, 2021. "TLCoV- An automated Covid-19 screening model using Transfer Learning from chest X-ray images," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    10. Basir, Fahad Al & Ray, Santanu & Venturino, Ezio, 2018. "Role of media coverage and delay in controlling infectious diseases: A mathematical model," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 337(C), pages 372-385.
    11. Alkhazzan, Abdulwasea & Wang, Jungang & Nie, Yufeng & Khan, Hasib & Alzabut, Jehad, 2023. "An effective transport-related SVIR stochastic epidemic model with media coverage and Lévy noise," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 175(P1).
    12. Xu, Jiang & Chen, Tao & Wen, Xiangdan, 2021. "Analysis of a Bailey–Dietz model for vector-borne disease under regime switching," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 580(C).
    13. Aguilar-Canto, Fernando Javier & de León, Ugo Avila-Ponce & Avila-Vales, Eric, 2022. "Sensitivity theorems of a model of multiple imperfect vaccines for COVID-19," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    14. Liu, Qun & Jiang, Daqing & Hayat, Tasawar & Alsaedi, Ahmed, 2018. "Dynamics of a stochastic tuberculosis model with antibiotic resistance," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 223-230.
    15. Greenhalgh, David & Rana, Sourav & Samanta, Sudip & Sardar, Tridip & Bhattacharya, Sabyasachi & Chattopadhyay, Joydev, 2015. "Awareness programs control infectious disease – Multiple delay induced mathematical model," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 251(C), pages 539-563.
    16. Yuan, Yiran & Li, Ning, 2022. "Optimal control and cost-effectiveness analysis for a COVID-19 model with individual protection awareness," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 603(C).
    17. Hanthanan Arachchilage, Kalpana & Hussaini, Mohammed Yousuff, 2021. "Ranking non-pharmaceutical interventions against Covid-19 global pandemic using global sensitivity analysis—Effect on number of deaths," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    18. Hajri, Youssra & Allali, Amina & Amine, Saida, 2024. "A delayed deterministic and stochastic SIRICV model: Hopf bifurcation and stochastic analysis," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 215(C), pages 98-121.
    19. Javier Cifuentes-Faura & Ursula Faura-Martínez & Matilde Lafuente-Lechuga, 2022. "Mathematical Modeling and the Use of Network Models as Epidemiological Tools," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(18), pages 1-14, September.
    20. RabieiMotlagh, Omid & Soleimani, Leila, 2023. "Effect of mutations on stochastic dynamics of infectious diseases, a probability approach," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 451(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:160:y:2022:i:c:s0960077922004040. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Thayer, Thomas R. (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/chaos-solitons-and-fractals .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.