IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/matcom/v241y2026ipap659-675.html

Numerical analysis of linearly implicit Milstein method for stochastic SEIR models with nonlinear incidence rates

Author

Listed:
  • Yang, Huizi
  • Yang, Zhanwen
  • Ming, Aoyun

Abstract

In this paper, we focus on the numerical analysis of stochastic SEIR models with nonlinear incidence rates. By reformulating the stochastic basic reproduction number R0S, it is shown that the disease extinction of deterministic models is preserved under stochastic noises. On the other hand, the total population of stochastic SEIR models is varying and even unbounded when there are some noises in the natural death rate. Therefore, as the fundamental approach, we have to present the boundedness in the 4th moment and Hölder continuity of the exact solutions for the numerical convergence analysis. Numerically, a linearly implicit Milstein method is employed to ensure the numerical positivity under the condition of h

Suggested Citation

  • Yang, Huizi & Yang, Zhanwen & Ming, Aoyun, 2026. "Numerical analysis of linearly implicit Milstein method for stochastic SEIR models with nonlinear incidence rates," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 241(PA), pages 659-675.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:matcom:v:241:y:2026:i:pa:p:659-675
    DOI: 10.1016/j.matcom.2025.09.015
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378475425003878
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.matcom.2025.09.015?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Merchant, Sandra M. & Nagata, Wayne, 2011. "Instabilities and spatiotemporal patterns behind predator invasions with nonlocal prey competition," Theoretical Population Biology, Elsevier, vol. 80(4), pages 289-297.
    2. Yang, Huizi & Yang, Zhanwen & Ma, Shufang, 2019. "Theoretical and numerical analysis for Volterra integro-differential equations with Itô integral under polynomially growth conditions," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 360(C), pages 70-82.
    3. Lahrouz, Aadil & Omari, Lahcen, 2013. "Extinction and stationary distribution of a stochastic SIRS epidemic model with non-linear incidence," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 83(4), pages 960-968.
    4. Liu, Qun & Jiang, Daqing & Shi, Ningzhong & Hayat, Tasawar & Ahmad, Bashir, 2017. "Stationary distribution and extinction of a stochastic SEIR epidemic model with standard incidence," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 476(C), pages 58-69.
    5. Xu, Changyong & Li, Xiaoyue, 2018. "The threshold of a stochastic delayed SIRS epidemic model with temporary immunity and vaccination," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 227-234.
    6. Yang, Xiaochen & Yang, Zhanwen & Zhang, Chiping, 2023. "Numerical analysis of the Linearly implicit Euler method with truncated Wiener process for the stochastic SIR model," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 208(C), pages 1-14.
    7. Liu, Qun & Jiang, Daqing & Hayat, Tasawar & Alsaedi, Ahmed, 2019. "Threshold dynamics of a stochastic SIS epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 526(C).
    8. Hao Wen & Yuanjing Wang & Guangyuan Liu & Dawei Liu, 2024. "Asymptotic Behavior of Stochastic Reaction–Diffusion Equations," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-13, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Fu, Xiaoming, 2019. "On invariant measures and the asymptotic behavior of a stochastic delayed SIRS epidemic model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 523(C), pages 1008-1023.
    2. Zhang, Xiao-Bing & Chang, Suqin & Shi, Qihong & Huo, Hai-Feng, 2018. "Qualitative study of a stochastic SIS epidemic model with vertical transmission," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 505(C), pages 805-817.
    3. Albano, Giuseppina & Giorno, Virginia & Pérez-Romero, Gema & Torres-Ruiz, Francisco de Asis, 2025. "Inference on a stochastic SIR model including growth curves," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    4. Wang, Zhixiao & Rui, Xiaobin & Yuan, Guan & Cui, Jingjing & Hadzibeganovic, Tarik, 2021. "Endemic information-contagion outbreaks in complex networks with potential spreaders based recurrent-state transmission dynamics," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 573(C).
    5. Caraballo, Tomás & Fatini, Mohamed El & Khalifi, Mohamed El & Gerlach, Richard & Pettersson, Roger, 2020. "Analysis of a stochastic distributed delay epidemic model with relapse and Gamma distribution kernel," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    6. Shi, Zhenfeng & Zhang, Xinhong & Jiang, Daqing, 2019. "Dynamics of an avian influenza model with half-saturated incidence," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 355(C), pages 399-416.
    7. Han, Qixing & Zhou, Lidong, 2025. "Deterministic and stochastic SAIU epidemic models with general incidence rate," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    8. Rajasekar, S.P. & Pitchaimani, M., 2020. "Ergodic stationary distribution and extinction of a stochastic SIRS epidemic model with logistic growth and nonlinear incidence," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 377(C).
    9. Wang, Qi & Xiang, Kainan & Zhu, Chunhui & Zou, Lang, 2023. "Stochastic SEIR epidemic models with virus mutation and logistic growth of susceptible populations," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 212(C), pages 289-309.
    10. Zhiming Li & Zhidong Teng, 2019. "Analysis of uncertain SIS epidemic model with nonlinear incidence and demography," Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making, Springer, vol. 18(4), pages 475-491, December.
    11. Zhang, Yan & Fan, Kuangang & Gao, Shujing & Liu, Yingfen & Chen, Shihua, 2019. "Ergodic stationary distribution of a stochastic SIRS epidemic model incorporating media coverage and saturated incidence rate," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 514(C), pages 671-685.
    12. Benazzouz, Meryem & Caraballo, Tomás & El Fatini, Mohamed & Laaribi, Aziz, 2024. "Discontinuous stochastic modeling and discrete numerical approximation for Tuberculosis model with relapse," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    13. Zhou, Yanli & Yuan, Sanling & Zhao, Dianli, 2016. "Threshold behavior of a stochastic SIS model with Le´vy jumps," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 275(C), pages 255-267.
    14. Liu, Qun & Jiang, Daqing & Shi, Ningzhong & Hayat, Tasawar & Ahmad, Bashir, 2017. "Stationary distribution and extinction of a stochastic SEIR epidemic model with standard incidence," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 476(C), pages 58-69.
    15. El Fatini, Mohamed & Sekkak, Idriss, 2020. "Lévy noise impact on a stochastic delayed epidemic model with Crowly–Martin incidence and crowding effect," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 541(C).
    16. Hussain, Ghulam & Khan, Amir & Zahri, Mostafa & Zaman, Gul, 2022. "Ergodic stationary distribution of stochastic epidemic model for HBV with double saturated incidence rates and vaccination," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    17. Roy Cerqueti & Alessandro Ramponi & Sergio Scarlatti, 2024. "A compartmental model for the dynamic simulation of pandemics with a multi-phase vaccination and its application to Italian COVID-19 data," Post-Print hal-05111935, HAL.
    18. Liu, Yue, 2022. "Extinction, persistence and density function analysis of a stochastic two-strain disease model with drug resistance mutation," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 433(C).
    19. Zhao, Xiangkui & Li, Ting, 2025. "Extinction and persistence of a stochastic HBV model," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    20. Qi, Haokun & Zhang, Shengqiang & Meng, Xinzhu & Dong, Huanhe, 2018. "Periodic solution and ergodic stationary distribution of two stochastic SIQS epidemic systems," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 508(C), pages 223-241.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:matcom:v:241:y:2026:i:pa:p:659-675. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/mathematics-and-computers-in-simulation/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.