IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v393y2025ics0306261925008219.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

From theory to practice: A critical review of model predictive control field implementations in the built environment

Author

Listed:
  • Saloux, Etienne
  • Candanedo, José A.
  • Vallianos, Charalampos
  • Morovat, Navid
  • Zhang, Kun

Abstract

While the potential of model-based predictive control (MPC) to improve building operation is widely acknowledged, its implementation has not yet become a mainstream practice in the building operation industry. This review paper explores the scientific literature documenting MPC field implementations in actual buildings. The goal is twofold: (a) to identify critical features in the deployment of MPC strategies, including the targeted building types and applications, systems controlled, expected benefits, software used, as well as common issues encountered (and successful measures to overcome these issues); (b) to evaluate the benefits of MPC based on the reported information from real-life implementations. Aspects analyzed include drivers and energy contexts, control-oriented modelling approaches, optimization routines, and performance evaluation methods. Results show that most practical studies focussed on buildings with a floor area under 10,000 m2, often even less than 1000 m2. MPC applications were varied, ranging from setpoint tracking and building conditioning to the optimization of the operation of thermal energy storage and photovoltaic panels and/or battery systems. MPC consistently yields significant benefits, with average savings of 30 % for thermal energy, 25 % for electricity use, 25 % for energy costs, 26 % for peak power and 17 % for GHG emissions, obtained under an average field-testing duration of 41 days.

Suggested Citation

  • Saloux, Etienne & Candanedo, José A. & Vallianos, Charalampos & Morovat, Navid & Zhang, Kun, 2025. "From theory to practice: A critical review of model predictive control field implementations in the built environment," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 393(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:393:y:2025:i:c:s0306261925008219
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2025.126091
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261925008219
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.apenergy.2025.126091?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Široký, Jan & Oldewurtel, Frauke & Cigler, Jiří & Prívara, Samuel, 2011. "Experimental analysis of model predictive control for an energy efficient building heating system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(9), pages 3079-3087.
    2. Saloux, Etienne & Runge, Jason & Zhang, Kun, 2023. "Operation optimization of multi-boiler district heating systems using artificial intelligence-based model predictive control: Field demonstrations," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 285(C).
    3. Pergantis, Elias N. & Priyadarshan, & Theeb, Nadah Al & Dhillon, Parveen & Ore, Jonathan P. & Ziviani, Davide & Groll, Eckhard A. & Kircher, Kevin J., 2024. "Field demonstration of predictive heating control for an all-electric house in a cold climate," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 360(C).
    4. Dongsu Kim & Jongman Lee & Sunglok Do & Pedro J. Mago & Kwang Ho Lee & Heejin Cho, 2022. "Energy Modeling and Model Predictive Control for HVAC in Buildings: A Review of Current Research Trends," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-30, October.
    5. Shaikh, Pervez Hameed & Nor, Nursyarizal Bin Mohd & Nallagownden, Perumal & Elamvazuthi, Irraivan & Ibrahim, Taib, 2014. "A review on optimized control systems for building energy and comfort management of smart sustainable buildings," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 409-429.
    6. Kim, Donghun & Wang, Zhe & Brugger, James & Blum, David & Wetter, Michael & Hong, Tianzhen & Piette, Mary Ann, 2022. "Site demonstration and performance evaluation of MPC for a large chiller plant with TES for renewable energy integration and grid decarbonization," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 321(C).
    7. Eicke, Anselm & Ruhnau, Oliver & Hirth, Lion, 2021. "Electricity balancing as a market equilibrium: An instrument-based estimation of supply and demand for imbalance energy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    8. Runge, Jason & Saloux, Etienne, 2023. "A comparison of prediction and forecasting artificial intelligence models to estimate the future energy demand in a district heating system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 269(C).
    9. Candanedo, J.A. & Dehkordi, V.R. & Stylianou, M., 2013. "Model-based predictive control of an ice storage device in a building cooling system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 1032-1045.
    10. Kathirgamanathan, Anjukan & De Rosa, Mattia & Mangina, Eleni & Finn, Donal P., 2021. "Data-driven predictive control for unlocking building energy flexibility: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    11. Baños, R. & Manzano-Agugliaro, F. & Montoya, F.G. & Gil, C. & Alcayde, A. & Gómez, J., 2011. "Optimization methods applied to renewable and sustainable energy: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 15(4), pages 1753-1766, May.
    12. Fiorentini, Massimo & Wall, Josh & Ma, Zhenjun & Braslavsky, Julio H. & Cooper, Paul, 2017. "Hybrid model predictive control of a residential HVAC system with on-site thermal energy generation and storage," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 187(C), pages 465-479.
    13. Van Oevelen, Tijs & Vanhoudt, Dirk & Johansson, Christian & Smulders, Ed, 2020. "Testing and performance evaluation of the STORM controller in two demonstration sites," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
    14. Gokhale, Gargya & Claessens, Bert & Develder, Chris, 2022. "Physics informed neural networks for control oriented thermal modeling of buildings," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 314(C).
    15. Wang, Xuezheng & Dong, Bing, 2024. "Long-term experimental evaluation and comparison of advanced controls for HVAC systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 371(C).
    16. Thilker, Christian Ankerstjerne & Jørgensen, John Bagterp & Madsen, Henrik, 2022. "Linear quadratic Gaussian control with advanced continuous-time disturbance models for building thermal regulation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 327(C).
    17. Xiao, Tianqi & You, Fengqi, 2023. "Building thermal modeling and model predictive control with physically consistent deep learning for decarbonization and energy optimization," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 342(C).
    18. Hlanze, Philani & Jiang, Zhimin & Cai, Jie & Shen, Bo, 2023. "Model-based predictive control of multi-stage air-source heat pumps integrated with phase change material-embedded ceilings," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 336(C).
    19. Finck, Christian & Li, Rongling & Zeiler, Wim, 2019. "Economic model predictive control for demand flexibility of a residential building," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 365-379.
    20. Tarragona, Joan & Pisello, Anna Laura & Fernández, Cèsar & Cabeza, Luisa F. & Payá, Jorge & Marchante-Avellaneda, Javier & de Gracia, Alvaro, 2022. "Analysis of thermal energy storage tanks and PV panels combinations in different buildings controlled through model predictive control," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PC).
    21. Gianluca Serale & Massimo Fiorentini & Alfonso Capozzoli & Daniele Bernardini & Alberto Bemporad, 2018. "Model Predictive Control (MPC) for Enhancing Building and HVAC System Energy Efficiency: Problem Formulation, Applications and Opportunities," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-35, March.
    22. Joe, Jaewan & Karava, Panagiota, 2019. "A model predictive control strategy to optimize the performance of radiant floor heating and cooling systems in office buildings," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 245(C), pages 65-77.
    23. Wang, Zhe & Hong, Tianzhen, 2020. "Reinforcement learning for building controls: The opportunities and challenges," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 269(C).
    24. Blum, David & Wang, Zhe & Weyandt, Chris & Kim, Donghun & Wetter, Michael & Hong, Tianzhen & Piette, Mary Ann, 2022. "Field demonstration and implementation analysis of model predictive control in an office HVAC system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 318(C).
    25. Yang, Shiyu & Wan, Man Pun & Ng, Bing Feng & Dubey, Swapnil & Henze, Gregor P. & Chen, Wanyu & Baskaran, Krishnamoorthy, 2021. "Model predictive control for integrated control of air-conditioning and mechanical ventilation, lighting and shading systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 297(C).
    26. Ham, Sang woo & Paul, Lazlo & Kim, Donghun & Pritoni, Marco & Brown, Richard & Feng, Jingjuan(Dove), 2024. "Decarbonization of heat pump dual fuel systems using a practical model predictive control: Field demonstration in a small commercial building," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 361(C).
    27. Yang, Shiyu & Wan, Man Pun & Chen, Wanyu & Ng, Bing Feng & Dubey, Swapnil, 2020. "Model predictive control with adaptive machine-learning-based model for building energy efficiency and comfort optimization," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 271(C).
    28. Chen, Xiao & Wang, Qian & Srebric, Jelena, 2016. "Occupant feedback based model predictive control for thermal comfort and energy optimization: A chamber experimental evaluation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 341-351.
    29. Yang, Shiyu & Wan, Man Pun & Ng, Bing Feng & Dubey, Swapnil & Henze, Gregor P. & Chen, Wanyu & Baskaran, Krishnamoorthy, 2020. "Experimental study of model predictive control for an air-conditioning system with dedicated outdoor air system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 257(C).
    30. Zhan, Sicheng & Chong, Adrian, 2021. "Data requirements and performance evaluation of model predictive control in buildings: A modeling perspective," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    31. Deb, Chirag & Zhang, Fan & Yang, Junjing & Lee, Siew Eang & Shah, Kwok Wei, 2017. "A review on time series forecasting techniques for building energy consumption," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 902-924.
    32. Anand Krishnan Prakash & Kun Zhang & Pranav Gupta & David Blum & Marc Marshall & Gabe Fierro & Peter Alstone & James Zoellick & Richard Brown & Marco Pritoni, 2020. "Solar+ Optimizer: A Model Predictive Control Optimization Platform for Grid Responsive Building Microgrids," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-27, June.
    33. Li, Bingxu & Wu, Bingjie & Peng, Yelun & Cai, Wenjian, 2022. "Tube-based robust model predictive control of multi-zone demand-controlled ventilation systems for energy saving and indoor air quality," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 307(C).
    34. Goyal, Siddharth & Barooah, Prabir & Middelkoop, Timothy, 2015. "Experimental study of occupancy-based control of HVAC zones," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 75-84.
    35. Yang, Shiyu & Wan, Man Pun, 2022. "Machine-learning-based model predictive control with instantaneous linearization – A case study on an air-conditioning and mechanical ventilation system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(PB).
    36. Wei, Zhichen & Calautit, John Kaiser, 2024. "Field experiment testing of a low-cost model predictive controller (MPC) for building heating systems and analysis of phase change material (PCM) integration," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 360(C).
    37. Saloux, Etienne & Candanedo, José A., 2021. "Model-based predictive control to minimize primary energy use in a solar district heating system with seasonal thermal energy storage," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 291(C).
    38. Taboga, Vincent & Gehring, Clement & Cam, Mathieu Le & Dagdougui, Hanane & Bacon, Pierre-Luc, 2024. "Neural differential equations for temperature control in buildings under demand response programs," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 368(C).
    39. Zhao, Dafang & Watari, Daichi & Ozawa, Yuki & Taniguchi, Ittetsu & Suzuki, Toshihiro & Shimoda, Yoshiyuki & Onoye, Takao, 2023. "Data-driven online energy management framework for HVAC systems: An experimental study," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 352(C).
    40. Silvestri, Alberto & Coraci, Davide & Brandi, Silvio & Capozzoli, Alfonso & Borkowski, Esther & Köhler, Johannes & Wu, Duan & Zeilinger, Melanie N. & Schlueter, Arno, 2024. "Real building implementation of a deep reinforcement learning controller to enhance energy efficiency and indoor temperature control," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 368(C).
    41. Brown, Sarah & Beausoleil-Morrison, Ian, 2023. "Long-term implementation of a model predictive controller for a hydronic floor heating and cooling system in a highly glazed house in Canada," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 349(C).
    42. Yang, Shiyu & Oliver Gao, H. & You, Fengqi, 2022. "Model predictive control in phase-change-material-wallboard-enhanced building energy management considering electricity price dynamics," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 326(C).
    43. Marco Pritoni & Drew Paine & Gabriel Fierro & Cory Mosiman & Michael Poplawski & Avijit Saha & Joel Bender & Jessica Granderson, 2021. "Metadata Schemas and Ontologies for Building Energy Applications: A Critical Review and Use Case Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-37, April.
    44. Knudsen, Michael Dahl & Georges, Laurent & Skeie, Kristian Stenerud & Petersen, Steffen, 2021. "Experimental test of a black-box economic model predictive control for residential space heating," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 298(C).
    45. Morovat, Navid & Athienitis, Andreas K. & Candanedo, José Agustín & Nouanegue, Hervé Frank, 2024. "Heuristic model predictive control implementation to activate energy flexibility in a fully electric school building," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 296(C).
    46. Li, Yanfei & O'Neill, Zheng & Zhang, Liang & Chen, Jianli & Im, Piljae & DeGraw, Jason, 2021. "Grey-box modeling and application for building energy simulations - A critical review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    47. Di Natale, L. & Svetozarevic, B. & Heer, P. & Jones, C.N., 2023. "Towards scalable physically consistent neural networks: An application to data-driven multi-zone thermal building models," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 340(C).
    48. Jennifer Date & José A. Candanedo & Andreas K. Athienitis, 2021. "A Methodology for the Enhancement of the Energy Flexibility and Contingency Response of a Building through Predictive Control of Passive and Active Storage," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-28, March.
    49. Finck, Christian & Li, Rongling & Zeiler, Wim, 2020. "Optimal control of demand flexibility under real-time pricing for heating systems in buildings: A real-life demonstration," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(C).
    50. Li, Han & Johra, Hicham & de Andrade Pereira, Flavia & Hong, Tianzhen & Le Dréau, Jérôme & Maturo, Anthony & Wei, Mingjun & Liu, Yapan & Saberi-Derakhtenjani, Ali & Nagy, Zoltan & Marszal-Pomianowska,, 2023. "Data-driven key performance indicators and datasets for building energy flexibility: A review and perspectives," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 343(C).
    51. Žáčeková, Eva & Váňa, Zdeněk & Cigler, Jiří, 2014. "Towards the real-life implementation of MPC for an office building: Identification issues," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 53-62.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wang, Xuezheng & Dong, Bing, 2024. "Long-term experimental evaluation and comparison of advanced controls for HVAC systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 371(C).
    2. Raman, Naren Srivaths & Chen, Bo & Barooah, Prabir, 2022. "On energy-efficient HVAC operation with Model Predictive Control: A multiple climate zone study," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 324(C).
    3. Deng, Zhipeng & Wang, Xuezheng & Dong, Bing, 2023. "Quantum computing for future real-time building HVAC controls," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 334(C).
    4. Montazeri, Mina & Remlinger, Carl & Bejar Haro, Benjamin & Heer, Philipp, 2025. "Fully data-driven and modular building thermal control with physically consistent modeling," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 390(C).
    5. Guo, Rui & Shi, Dachuan & Liu, Ying & Min, Yunran & Shi, Chengnan, 2025. "A modeling framework for integrating model predictive control into building design optimization," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 388(C).
    6. Raman, Naren Srivaths & Devaprasad, Karthikeya & Chen, Bo & Ingley, Herbert A. & Barooah, Prabir, 2020. "Model predictive control for energy-efficient HVAC operation with humidity and latent heat considerations," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 279(C).
    7. Zhan, Sicheng & Chong, Adrian, 2021. "Data requirements and performance evaluation of model predictive control in buildings: A modeling perspective," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    8. Tang, Lingfeng & Xie, Haipeng & Wang, Yongguan & Xu, Zhanbo, 2025. "Deeply flexible commercial building HVAC system control: A physics-aware deep learning-embedded MPC approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 388(C).
    9. Hu, Zehuan & Gao, Yuan & Sun, Luning & Mae, Masayuki & Imaizumi, Taiji, 2024. "Improved robust model predictive control for residential building air conditioning and photovoltaic power generation with battery energy storage system under weather forecast uncertainty," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 371(C).
    10. Chen, Wei-Han & You, Fengqi, 2024. "Sustainable energy management and control for Decarbonization of complex multi-zone buildings with renewable solar and geothermal energies using machine learning, robust optimization, and predictive c," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 372(C).
    11. Yang, Shiyu & Wan, Man Pun & Ng, Bing Feng & Dubey, Swapnil & Henze, Gregor P. & Chen, Wanyu & Baskaran, Krishnamoorthy, 2021. "Model predictive control for integrated control of air-conditioning and mechanical ventilation, lighting and shading systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 297(C).
    12. Bünning, Felix & Huber, Benjamin & Schalbetter, Adrian & Aboudonia, Ahmed & Hudoba de Badyn, Mathias & Heer, Philipp & Smith, Roy S. & Lygeros, John, 2022. "Physics-informed linear regression is competitive with two Machine Learning methods in residential building MPC," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 310(C).
    13. Guo, Yurun & Wang, Shugang & Wang, Jihong & Zhang, Tengfei & Ma, Zhenjun & Jiang, Shuang, 2024. "Key district heating technologies for building energy flexibility: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 189(PB).
    14. Gianluca Serale & Massimo Fiorentini & Alfonso Capozzoli & Daniele Bernardini & Alberto Bemporad, 2018. "Model Predictive Control (MPC) for Enhancing Building and HVAC System Energy Efficiency: Problem Formulation, Applications and Opportunities," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-35, March.
    15. Dongsu Kim & Jongman Lee & Sunglok Do & Pedro J. Mago & Kwang Ho Lee & Heejin Cho, 2022. "Energy Modeling and Model Predictive Control for HVAC in Buildings: A Review of Current Research Trends," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-30, October.
    16. Zheng, Wanfu & Wang, Dan & Wang, Zhe, 2024. "Economic model predictive control for building HVAC system: A comparative analysis of model-based and data-driven approaches using the BOPTEST Framework," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 374(C).
    17. Kathirgamanathan, Anjukan & De Rosa, Mattia & Mangina, Eleni & Finn, Donal P., 2021. "Data-driven predictive control for unlocking building energy flexibility: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    18. Yang, Shiyu & Wan, Man Pun & Ng, Bing Feng & Dubey, Swapnil & Henze, Gregor P. & Chen, Wanyu & Baskaran, Krishnamoorthy, 2020. "Experimental study of model predictive control for an air-conditioning system with dedicated outdoor air system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 257(C).
    19. Ma, Zhihao & Jiang, Gang & Hu, Yuqing & Chen, Jianli, 2025. "A review of physics-informed machine learning for building energy modeling," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 381(C).
    20. Yang, Shiyu & Wan, Man Pun, 2022. "Machine-learning-based model predictive control with instantaneous linearization – A case study on an air-conditioning and mechanical ventilation system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(PB).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:393:y:2025:i:c:s0306261925008219. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.