IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v381y2025ics0306261924024292.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Enhancing power system reliability through demand flexibility of Grid-Interactive Efficient Buildings: A thermal model-based optimization approach

Author

Listed:
  • Pantoš, Miloš
  • Lukas, Lucija

Abstract

The paper evaluates the impact of grid-interactive efficient buildings (GEBs) on power system reliability. To achieve this, a single-zone thermal model of a building is developed, allowing for the simulation of indoor temperature dynamics based on the characteristics of the building envelope and internal thermal mass. The potential of GEBs to adjust their electric consumption, recognized as demand flexibility, is integrated into the direct optimization of reliability indices, specifically Loss of Load Expectation (LOLE) and Expected Energy Not Supplied (EENS). The analysis is conducted using the proposed optimization model in two distinct case studies. In the first scenario, households do not support the power system and only optimize their energy consumption for heating and cooling. In the second scenario, households provide available demand flexibility of GEBs to the power system to enhance reliability. This demand flexibility is constrained by the need to maintain indoor temperature within limits that ensure comfortable use of the space. The analysis highlights the potential of GEBs to improve power system reliability by reducing LOLE and EENS. The primary scientific contribution of this research is the development of an optimization model that incorporates a thermal model of GEBs without assuming a generic demand flexibility for the buildings.

Suggested Citation

  • Pantoš, Miloš & Lukas, Lucija, 2025. "Enhancing power system reliability through demand flexibility of Grid-Interactive Efficient Buildings: A thermal model-based optimization approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 381(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:381:y:2025:i:c:s0306261924024292
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.125045
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261924024292
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.125045?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Khatibi, Mahmood & Rahnama, Samira & Vogler-Finck, Pierre & Dimon Bendtsen, Jan & Afshari, Alireza, 2023. "Towards designing an aggregator to activate the energy flexibility of multi-zone buildings using a hierarchical model-based scheme," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 333(C).
    2. Wang, Yu & Xu, Yan & Tang, Yi, 2019. "Distributed aggregation control of grid-interactive smart buildings for power system frequency support," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 251(C), pages 1-1.
    3. Utama, Christian & Troitzsch, Sebastian & Thakur, Jagruti, 2021. "Demand-side flexibility and demand-side bidding for flexible loads in air-conditioned buildings," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 285(C).
    4. Wei, Congying & Wu, Qiuwei & Xu, Jian & Sun, Yuanzhang & Jin, Xiaolong & Liao, Siyang & Yuan, Zhiyong & Yu, Li, 2020. "Distributed scheduling of smart buildings to smooth power fluctuations considering load rebound," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 276(C).
    5. Chu, Wenfeng & Zhang, Yu & He, Wei & Zhang, Sheng & Hu, Zhongting & Ru, Bingqian & Ying, Shangxuan, 2023. "Research on flexible allocation strategy of power grid interactive buildings based on multiple optimization objectives," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(PB).
    6. Zhao, Hai-xiang & Magoulès, Frédéric, 2012. "A review on the prediction of building energy consumption," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(6), pages 3586-3592.
    7. Shi, Jian & Teh, Jiashen & Alharbi, Bader & Lai, Ching-Ming, 2024. "Load forecasting for regional integrated energy system based on two-phase decomposition and mixture prediction model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 297(C).
    8. Foucquier, Aurélie & Robert, Sylvain & Suard, Frédéric & Stéphan, Louis & Jay, Arnaud, 2013. "State of the art in building modelling and energy performances prediction: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 272-288.
    9. Shi, Jian & Teh, Jiashen, 2024. "Load forecasting for regional integrated energy system based on complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition and multi-model fusion," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 353(PB).
    10. Li, Yanfei & O'Neill, Zheng & Zhang, Liang & Chen, Jianli & Im, Piljae & DeGraw, Jason, 2021. "Grey-box modeling and application for building energy simulations - A critical review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    11. Božič, Dušan & Pantoš, Miloš, 2015. "Impact of electric-drive vehicles on power system reliability," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 511-520.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dai, Shuangfeng & Mansouri, Seyed Amir & Huang, Shoujun & Alharthi, Yahya Z. & Wu, Yongfei & Bagherzadeh, Leila, 2024. "A multi-stage techno-economic model for harnessing flexibility from IoT-enabled appliances and smart charging systems: Developing a competitive local flexibility market using Stackelberg game theory," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 373(C).
    2. Vallianos, Charalampos & Candanedo, José & Athienitis, Andreas, 2023. "Application of a large smart thermostat dataset for model calibration and Model Predictive Control implementation in the residential sector," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(PA).
    3. Tomasz Szul & Krzysztof Nęcka & Stanisław Lis, 2021. "Application of the Takagi-Sugeno Fuzzy Modeling to Forecast Energy Efficiency in Real Buildings Undergoing Thermal Improvement," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-16, March.
    4. Chou, Jui-Sheng & Tran, Duc-Son, 2018. "Forecasting energy consumption time series using machine learning techniques based on usage patterns of residential householders," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(PB), pages 709-726.
    5. Gianluca Serale & Massimo Fiorentini & Alfonso Capozzoli & Daniele Bernardini & Alberto Bemporad, 2018. "Model Predictive Control (MPC) for Enhancing Building and HVAC System Energy Efficiency: Problem Formulation, Applications and Opportunities," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-35, March.
    6. Wang, Lan & Lee, Eric W.M. & Hussian, Syed Asad & Yuen, Anthony Chun Yin & Feng, Wei, 2021. "Quantitative impact analysis of driving factors on annual residential building energy end-use combining machine learning and stochastic methods," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 299(C).
    7. Hamid R. Khosravani & María Del Mar Castilla & Manuel Berenguel & Antonio E. Ruano & Pedro M. Ferreira, 2016. "A Comparison of Energy Consumption Prediction Models Based on Neural Networks of a Bioclimatic Building," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-24, January.
    8. Di Natale, L. & Svetozarevic, B. & Heer, P. & Jones, C.N., 2023. "Towards scalable physically consistent neural networks: An application to data-driven multi-zone thermal building models," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 340(C).
    9. Emilio Ghiani & Alessandro Serpi & Virginia Pilloni & Giuliana Sias & Marco Simone & Gianluca Marcialis & Giuliano Armano & Paolo Attilio Pegoraro, 2018. "A Multidisciplinary Approach for the Development of Smart Distribution Networks," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-29, September.
    10. Wang, Qiaochu & Ding, Yan & Kong, Xiangfei & Tian, Zhe & Xu, Linrui & He, Qing, 2022. "Load pattern recognition based optimization method for energy flexibility in office buildings," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 254(PC).
    11. Chitalia, Gopal & Pipattanasomporn, Manisa & Garg, Vishal & Rahman, Saifur, 2020. "Robust short-term electrical load forecasting framework for commercial buildings using deep recurrent neural networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(C).
    12. Perera, D.W.U. & Winkler, D. & Skeie, N.-O., 2016. "Multi-floor building heating models in MATLAB and Modelica environments," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 46-57.
    13. Ciulla, G. & D'Amico, A., 2019. "Building energy performance forecasting: A multiple linear regression approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 253(C), pages 1-1.
    14. Mavromatidis, Georgios & Orehounig, Kristina & Carmeliet, Jan, 2018. "A review of uncertainty characterisation approaches for the optimal design of distributed energy systems," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 258-277.
    15. Sergio Ortega Alba & Mario Manana, 2017. "Characterization and Analysis of Energy Demand Patterns in Airports," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-35, January.
    16. Wenninger, Simon & Kaymakci, Can & Wiethe, Christian, 2022. "Explainable long-term building energy consumption prediction using QLattice," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 308(C).
    17. Wiethe, Christian & Wenninger, Simon, 2023. "The influence of building energy performance prediction accuracy on retrofit rates," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
    18. Santos, Luis Guilherme Resende & Afshari, Afshin & Norford, Leslie K. & Mao, Jiachen, 2018. "Evaluating approaches for district-wide energy model calibration considering the Urban Heat Island effect," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 215(C), pages 31-40.
    19. Chen, Haoyu & Huang, Hai & Zheng, Yong & Yang, Bing, 2024. "A load forecasting approach for integrated energy systems based on aggregation hybrid modal decomposition and combined model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 375(C).
    20. Severinsen, A. & Myrland, Ø., 2022. "Statistical learning to estimate energy savings from retrofitting in the Norwegian food retail market," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:381:y:2025:i:c:s0306261924024292. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.