IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jeners/v14y2021i7p1920-d527096.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Application of the Takagi-Sugeno Fuzzy Modeling to Forecast Energy Efficiency in Real Buildings Undergoing Thermal Improvement

Author

Listed:
  • Tomasz Szul

    (Faculty of Production and Power Engineering, University of Agriculture, Krakow, 30-149 Kraków, Poland)

  • Krzysztof Nęcka

    (Faculty of Production and Power Engineering, University of Agriculture, Krakow, 30-149 Kraków, Poland)

  • Stanisław Lis

    (Faculty of Production and Power Engineering, University of Agriculture, Krakow, 30-149 Kraków, Poland)

Abstract

Energy efficiency in the building industry is related to the amount of energy that can be saved through thermal improvement. Therefore, it is important to determine the energy saving potential of the buildings to be thermally upgraded in order to check whether the set targets for the amount of energy saved will be reached after the implementation of corrective measures. In real residential buildings, when starting to make energy calculations, one can often encounter the problem of incomplete architectural documentation and inaccurate data characterizing the object in terms of thermal (thermal resistance of partitions) and usable (number of inhabitants). Therefore, there is a need to search for methods that will be suitable for quick technical analysis of measures taken to improve energy efficiency in existing buildings. The aim of this work was to test the usefulness of the type Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy models of inference model for predicting the energy efficiency of actual residential buildings that have undergone thermal improvement. For the group of 109 buildings a specific set of important variables characterizing the examined objects was identified. The quality of the prediction models developed for various combinations of input variables has been evaluated using, among other things, statistical calibration standards developed by the American Society of Heating, Refrigerating, and Air-Conditioning Engineers (ASHRAE). The obtained results were compared with other prediction models (based on the same input data sets) using artificial neural networks and rough sets theory.

Suggested Citation

  • Tomasz Szul & Krzysztof Nęcka & Stanisław Lis, 2021. "Application of the Takagi-Sugeno Fuzzy Modeling to Forecast Energy Efficiency in Real Buildings Undergoing Thermal Improvement," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-16, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:14:y:2021:i:7:p:1920-:d:527096
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/7/1920/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/7/1920/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zhao, Hai-xiang & Magoulès, Frédéric, 2012. "A review on the prediction of building energy consumption," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(6), pages 3586-3592.
    2. Germán Ramos Ruiz & Carlos Fernández Bandera, 2017. "Validation of Calibrated Energy Models: Common Errors," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-19, October.
    3. Foucquier, Aurélie & Robert, Sylvain & Suard, Frédéric & Stéphan, Louis & Jay, Arnaud, 2013. "State of the art in building modelling and energy performances prediction: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 272-288.
    4. Mat Daut, Mohammad Azhar & Hassan, Mohammad Yusri & Abdullah, Hayati & Rahman, Hasimah Abdul & Abdullah, Md Pauzi & Hussin, Faridah, 2017. "Building electrical energy consumption forecasting analysis using conventional and artificial intelligence methods: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 1108-1118.
    5. Fumo, Nelson, 2014. "A review on the basics of building energy estimation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 53-60.
    6. Chan, Hoy-Yen & Riffat, Saffa B. & Zhu, Jie, 2010. "Review of passive solar heating and cooling technologies," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 14(2), pages 781-789, February.
    7. C. West Churchman & Russell L. Ackoff, 1954. "An Approximate Measure of Value," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 2(2), pages 172-187, May.
    8. Tomasz Szul & Stanisław Kokoszka, 2020. "Application of Rough Set Theory (RST) to Forecast Energy Consumption in Buildings Undergoing Thermal Modernization," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-17, March.
    9. Yildiz, B. & Bilbao, J.I. & Sproul, A.B., 2017. "A review and analysis of regression and machine learning models on commercial building electricity load forecasting," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 1104-1122.
    10. Tomasz Szul & Krzysztof Nęcka & Thomas G. Mathia, 2020. "Neural Methods Comparison for Prediction of Heating Energy Based on Few Hundreds Enhanced Buildings in Four Season’s Climate," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-17, October.
    11. Fan, Cheng & Xiao, Fu & Wang, Shengwei, 2014. "Development of prediction models for next-day building energy consumption and peak power demand using data mining techniques," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 1-10.
    12. Wang, Zeyu & Srinivasan, Ravi S., 2017. "A review of artificial intelligence based building energy use prediction: Contrasting the capabilities of single and ensemble prediction models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 796-808.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Joanna Piotrowska-Woroniak & Tomasz Szul & Krzysztof Cieśliński & Jozef Krilek, 2022. "The Impact of Weather-Forecast-Based Regulation on Energy Savings for Heating in Multi-Family Buildings," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-30, October.
    2. Minglu Ma & Qiang Wang, 2022. "Assessment and Forecast of Green Total Factor Energy Efficiency in the Yellow River Basin—A Perspective Distinguishing the Upper, Middle and Lower Stream," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-23, February.
    3. Seif Khiati & Rafik Belarbi & Ammar Yahia, 2023. "Sustainable Buildings: A Choice, or a Must for Our Future?," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(6), pages 1-5, March.
    4. Roman V. Klyuev & Irbek D. Morgoev & Angelika D. Morgoeva & Oksana A. Gavrina & Nikita V. Martyushev & Egor A. Efremenkov & Qi Mengxu, 2022. "Methods of Forecasting Electric Energy Consumption: A Literature Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(23), pages 1-33, November.
    5. Batyr Orazbayev & Ainur Zhumadillayeva & Kulman Orazbayeva & Sandugash Iskakova & Balbupe Utenova & Farit Gazizov & Svetlana Ilyashenko & Olga Afanaseva, 2022. "The System of Models and Optimization of Operating Modes of a Catalytic Reforming Unit Using Initial Fuzzy Information," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-25, February.
    6. Joanna Piotrowska-Woroniak & Tomasz Szul, 2022. "Application of a Model Based on Rough Set Theory (RST) to Estimate the Energy Efficiency of Public Buildings," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(23), pages 1-13, November.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Joanna Piotrowska-Woroniak & Tomasz Szul, 2022. "Application of a Model Based on Rough Set Theory (RST) to Estimate the Energy Efficiency of Public Buildings," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(23), pages 1-13, November.
    2. Tomasz Szul & Sylwester Tabor & Krzysztof Pancerz, 2021. "Application of the BORUTA Algorithm to Input Data Selection for a Model Based on Rough Set Theory (RST) to Prediction Energy Consumption for Building Heating," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-13, May.
    3. Tomasz Szul & Stanisław Kokoszka, 2020. "Application of Rough Set Theory (RST) to Forecast Energy Consumption in Buildings Undergoing Thermal Modernization," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-17, March.
    4. Chou, Jui-Sheng & Tran, Duc-Son, 2018. "Forecasting energy consumption time series using machine learning techniques based on usage patterns of residential householders," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(PB), pages 709-726.
    5. Jason Runge & Radu Zmeureanu, 2019. "Forecasting Energy Use in Buildings Using Artificial Neural Networks: A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-27, August.
    6. Salah Bouktif & Ali Fiaz & Ali Ouni & Mohamed Adel Serhani, 2018. "Optimal Deep Learning LSTM Model for Electric Load Forecasting using Feature Selection and Genetic Algorithm: Comparison with Machine Learning Approaches †," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-20, June.
    7. Gautham Krishnadas & Aristides Kiprakis, 2020. "A Machine Learning Pipeline for Demand Response Capacity Scheduling," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-25, April.
    8. Sunil Kumar Mohapatra & Sushruta Mishra & Hrudaya Kumar Tripathy & Akash Kumar Bhoi & Paolo Barsocchi, 2021. "A Pragmatic Investigation of Energy Consumption and Utilization Models in the Urban Sector Using Predictive Intelligence Approaches," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-28, June.
    9. Venkatraj, V. & Dixit, M.K., 2022. "Challenges in implementing data-driven approaches for building life cycle energy assessment: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    10. Niemierko, Rochus & Töppel, Jannick & Tränkler, Timm, 2019. "A D-vine copula quantile regression approach for the prediction of residential heating energy consumption based on historical data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 233, pages 691-708.
    11. Grillone, Benedetto & Danov, Stoyan & Sumper, Andreas & Cipriano, Jordi & Mor, Gerard, 2020. "A review of deterministic and data-driven methods to quantify energy efficiency savings and to predict retrofitting scenarios in buildings," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    12. Zhang, Liang & Wen, Jin & Li, Yanfei & Chen, Jianli & Ye, Yunyang & Fu, Yangyang & Livingood, William, 2021. "A review of machine learning in building load prediction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 285(C).
    13. Kasım Zor & Özgür Çelik & Oğuzhan Timur & Ahmet Teke, 2020. "Short-Term Building Electrical Energy Consumption Forecasting by Employing Gene Expression Programming and GMDH Networks," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-24, March.
    14. Gatt, Damien & Yousif, Charles & Cellura, Maurizio & Camilleri, Liberato & Guarino, Francesco, 2020. "Assessment of building energy modelling studies to meet the requirements of the new Energy Performance of Buildings Directive," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    15. Tran, Duc-Hoc & Luong, Duc-Long & Chou, Jui-Sheng, 2020. "Nature-inspired metaheuristic ensemble model for forecasting energy consumption in residential buildings," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    16. Chou, Jui-Sheng & Ngo, Ngoc-Tri, 2016. "Time series analytics using sliding window metaheuristic optimization-based machine learning system for identifying building energy consumption patterns," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 751-770.
    17. Peplinski, McKenna & Dilkina, Bistra & Chen, Mo & Silva, Sam J. & Ban-Weiss, George A. & Sanders, Kelly T., 2024. "A machine learning framework to estimate residential electricity demand based on smart meter electricity, climate, building characteristics, and socioeconomic datasets," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 357(C).
    18. Solène Goy & François Maréchal & Donal Finn, 2020. "Data for Urban Scale Building Energy Modelling: Assessing Impacts and Overcoming Availability Challenges," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-23, August.
    19. Yildiz, B. & Bilbao, J.I. & Sproul, A.B., 2017. "A review and analysis of regression and machine learning models on commercial building electricity load forecasting," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 1104-1122.
    20. Fan, Cheng & Sun, Yongjun & Xiao, Fu & Ma, Jie & Lee, Dasheng & Wang, Jiayuan & Tseng, Yen Chieh, 2020. "Statistical investigations of transfer learning-based methodology for short-term building energy predictions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:14:y:2021:i:7:p:1920-:d:527096. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.