IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v323y2022ics0306261922009187.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Data-driven early warning strategy for thermal runaway propagation in Lithium-ion battery modules with variable state of charge

Author

Listed:
  • Zhang, Wencan
  • Ouyang, Nan
  • Yin, Xiuxing
  • Li, Xingyao
  • Wu, Weixiong
  • Huang, Liansheng

Abstract

Thermal runaway (TR) propagation is triggered in a battery pack by abnormalities such as a cell fire or explosion, which leads to severe consequences. Predicting the TR propagation is challenging due to the complex, high non-linearity, and uncertain disturbances of TR. This paper establishes an electro-thermal coupling simulation model of TR propagation to supplement experimental data and public datasets for model training and verification. Then, a data-driven fusion model named Multi-Mode and Multi-Task Thermal Propagation Forecasting Neural Network (MMTPFNN) is established quantitative advance multi-step prediction of TR propagation in Li-ion battery modules, and a temperature-based TR propagation grading warning strategy is proposed. The TR propagation is mainly influenced by the thermal characteristics of surrounding batteries, and the temperature distribution in the entire battery module is of great significance to the prediction of TR propagation. Herein, the model is presented by using the thermal image and the discrete operating data of cells. Furthermore, because TR is a small probability event, obtaining the thermal image of the battery module requires additional system memory and computational resources. A switching strategy of the prediction model is established to improve the applicability of the model with the temperature threshold of 60 °C. When the battery is in a safe temperature range (below 60 °C), the long short-term memory (LSTM) model is run to predict the battery temperature. Once the battery temperature is detected above 60 °C, the thermal image is captured, and the MMTPFNN model is run to predict the TR propagation. In the validation section, different network structures are discussed, and different time resolutions and different window settings of the MMTPFNN are compared. Finally, the early warning strategy with three alert levels is introduced, and the effectiveness of the warning strategy with different window settings and initial SoCs is further discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhang, Wencan & Ouyang, Nan & Yin, Xiuxing & Li, Xingyao & Wu, Weixiong & Huang, Liansheng, 2022. "Data-driven early warning strategy for thermal runaway propagation in Lithium-ion battery modules with variable state of charge," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 323(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:323:y:2022:i:c:s0306261922009187
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2022.119614
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261922009187
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.apenergy.2022.119614?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chen, Zeyu & Xiong, Rui & Lu, Jiahuan & Li, Xinggang, 2018. "Temperature rise prediction of lithium-ion battery suffering external short circuit for all-climate electric vehicles application," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 213(C), pages 375-383.
    2. Lai, Xin & Yi, Wei & Cui, Yifan & Qin, Chao & Han, Xuebing & Sun, Tao & Zhou, Long & Zheng, Yuejiu, 2021. "Capacity estimation of lithium-ion cells by combining model-based and data-driven methods based on a sequential extended Kalman filter," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    3. Mao, Binbin & Zhao, Chunpeng & Chen, Haodong & Wang, Qingsong & Sun, Jinhua, 2021. "Experimental and modeling analysis of jet flow and fire dynamics of 18650-type lithium-ion battery," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 281(C).
    4. Li, Shuangqi & He, Hongwen & Su, Chang & Zhao, Pengfei, 2020. "Data driven battery modeling and management method with aging phenomenon considered," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 275(C).
    5. Kvasha, Andriy & Gutiérrez, César & Osa, Urtzi & de Meatza, Iratxe & Blazquez, J. Alberto & Macicior, Haritz & Urdampilleta, Idoia, 2018. "A comparative study of thermal runaway of commercial lithium ion cells," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 547-557.
    6. Kristen A. Severson & Peter M. Attia & Norman Jin & Nicholas Perkins & Benben Jiang & Zi Yang & Michael H. Chen & Muratahan Aykol & Patrick K. Herring & Dimitrios Fraggedakis & Martin Z. Bazant & Step, 2019. "Data-driven prediction of battery cycle life before capacity degradation," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 4(5), pages 383-391, May.
    7. Coman, Paul T. & Darcy, Eric C. & Veje, Christian T. & White, Ralph E., 2017. "Numerical analysis of heat propagation in a battery pack using a novel technology for triggering thermal runaway," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 203(C), pages 189-200.
    8. Jiang, Z.Y. & Qu, Z.G. & Zhang, J.F. & Rao, Z.H., 2020. "Rapid prediction method for thermal runaway propagation in battery pack based on lumped thermal resistance network and electric circuit analogy," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 268(C).
    9. Song, Yuchen & Liu, Datong & Liao, Haitao & Peng, Yu, 2020. "A hybrid statistical data-driven method for on-line joint state estimation of lithium-ion batteries," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(C).
    10. Said, Ahmed O. & Lee, Christopher & Stoliarov, Stanislav I. & Marshall, André W., 2019. "Comprehensive analysis of dynamics and hazards associated with cascading failure in 18650 lithium ion cell arrays," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 248(C), pages 415-428.
    11. Hong, Jichao & Wang, Zhenpo & Yao, Yongtao, 2019. "Fault prognosis of battery system based on accurate voltage abnormity prognosis using long short-term memory neural networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 251(C), pages 1-1.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ma, Zhikai & Huo, Qian & Wang, Wei & Zhang, Tao, 2023. "Voltage-temperature aware thermal runaway alarming framework for electric vehicles via deep learning with attention mechanism in time-frequency domain," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(C).
    2. Zhang, Wencan & He, Hancheng & Li, Taotao & Yuan, Jiangfeng & Xie, Yi & Long, Zhuoru, 2024. "Lithium-ion battery state of health prognostication employing multi-model fusion approach based on image coding of charging voltage and temperature data," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 296(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. E, Jiaqiang & Xiao, Hanxu & Tian, Sicheng & Huang, Yuxin, 2024. "A comprehensive review on thermal runaway model of a lithium-ion battery: Mechanism, thermal, mechanical, propagation, gas venting and combustion," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    2. Wang, Gongquan & Kong, Depeng & Ping, Ping & He, Xiaoqin & Lv, Hongpeng & Zhao, Hengle & Hong, Wanru, 2023. "Modeling venting behavior of lithium-ion batteries during thermal runaway propagation by coupling CFD and thermal resistance network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 334(C).
    3. Zhang, Ying & Li, Yan-Fu, 2022. "Prognostics and health management of Lithium-ion battery using deep learning methods: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    4. Rauf, Huzaifa & Khalid, Muhammad & Arshad, Naveed, 2022. "Machine learning in state of health and remaining useful life estimation: Theoretical and technological development in battery degradation modelling," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    5. Zhou, Zhizuan & Zhou, Xiaodong & Cao, Bei & Yang, Lizhong & Liew, K.M., 2022. "Investigating the relationship between heating temperature and thermal runaway of prismatic lithium-ion battery with LiFePO4 as cathode," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).
    6. Zhou, Zhizuan & Zhou, Xiaodong & Li, Maoyu & Cao, Bei & Liew, K.M. & Yang, Lizhong, 2022. "Experimentally exploring prevention of thermal runaway propagation of large-format prismatic lithium-ion battery module," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 327(C).
    7. Takyi-Aninakwa, Paul & Wang, Shunli & Zhang, Hongying & Yang, Xiao & Fernandez, Carlos, 2023. "A hybrid probabilistic correction model for the state of charge estimation of lithium-ion batteries considering dynamic currents and temperatures," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 273(C).
    8. Daniels, Rojo Kurian & Kumar, Vikas & Chouhan, Satyendra Singh & Prabhakar, Aneesh, 2024. "Thermal runaway fault prediction in air-cooled lithium-ion battery modules using machine learning through temperature sensors placement optimization," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 355(C).
    9. Yang, Ruixin & Xiong, Rui & Ma, Suxiao & Lin, Xinfan, 2020. "Characterization of external short circuit faults in electric vehicle Li-ion battery packs and prediction using artificial neural networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).
    10. Liu, Tong & Tao, Changfa & Wang, Xishi, 2020. "Cooling control effect of water mist on thermal runaway propagation in lithium ion battery modules," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 267(C).
    11. da Silva, Samuel Filgueira & Eckert, Jony Javorski & Corrêa, Fernanda Cristina & Silva, Fabrício Leonardo & Silva, Ludmila C.A. & Dedini, Franco Giuseppe, 2022. "Dual HESS electric vehicle powertrain design and fuzzy control based on multi-objective optimization to increase driving range and battery life cycle," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 324(C).
    12. Zhou, Yuekuan, 2024. "AI-driven battery ageing prediction with distributed renewable community and E-mobility energy sharing," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    13. Kong, Jin-zhen & Yang, Fangfang & Zhang, Xi & Pan, Ershun & Peng, Zhike & Wang, Dong, 2021. "Voltage-temperature health feature extraction to improve prognostics and health management of lithium-ion batteries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
    14. Lyu, Guangzheng & Zhang, Heng & Miao, Qiang, 2023. "An interpretable state of health estimation method for lithium-ion batteries based on multi-category and multi-stage features," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
    15. Ospina Agudelo, Brian & Zamboni, Walter & Monmasson, Eric, 2021. "Application domain extension of incremental capacity-based battery SoH indicators," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    16. Lyu, Guangzheng & Zhang, Heng & Miao, Qiang, 2023. "Parallel State Fusion LSTM-based Early-cycle Stage Lithium-ion Battery RUL Prediction Under Lebesgue Sampling Framework," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    17. Mahesh Suresh Patil & Satyam Panchal & Namwon Kim & Moo-Yeon Lee, 2018. "Cooling Performance Characteristics of 20 Ah Lithium-Ion Pouch Cell with Cold Plates along Both Surfaces," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-19, September.
    18. Gandoman, Foad H. & Jaguemont, Joris & Goutam, Shovon & Gopalakrishnan, Rahul & Firouz, Yousef & Kalogiannis, Theodoros & Omar, Noshin & Van Mierlo, Joeri, 2019. "Concept of reliability and safety assessment of lithium-ion batteries in electric vehicles: Basics, progress, and challenges," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 251(C), pages 1-1.
    19. Li, Yang & Wang, Shunli & Chen, Lei & Qi, Chuangshi & Fernandez, Carlos, 2023. "Multiple layer kernel extreme learning machine modeling and eugenics genetic sparrow search algorithm for the state of health estimation of lithium-ion batteries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).
    20. Liu, Yanhui & Zhang, Lei & Ding, Yifei & Huang, Xianjia & Huang, Xinyan, 2024. "Effect of thermal impact on the onset and propagation of thermal runaway over cylindrical Li-ion batteries," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:323:y:2022:i:c:s0306261922009187. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.