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Random Forests modelling for the estimation of mango (Mangifera indica L. cv. Chok Anan) fruit yields under different irrigation regimes

Author

Listed:
  • Fukuda, Shinji
  • Spreer, Wolfram
  • Yasunaga, Eriko
  • Yuge, Kozue
  • Sardsud, Vicha
  • Müller, Joachim

Abstract

‘Chok Anan’ mangoes, mainly produced in Northern Thailand, are appreciated for their light to bright yellow colour and sweet taste. Because fruit development of the on-season mangoes occurs during the dry season, farmers have to irrigate mango trees to ensure high yields and good quality. Therefore, it is important to understand the effects of water supply on the yield of mango fruit for better control and effective use of limited water resources. In this study, we aim to demonstrate the applicability of Random Forests (RF) for estimating mango fruit yields in response to water supply under different irrigation regimes. To cope with the variability of mango fruit yields observed in the field, a set of RF models was developed to estimate the minimum, mean and maximum values for each of the mango fruit yields, namely “total yield” and “number of marketable mango fruit”. In RF modelling, a combination of 10-day rainfall and irrigation data was used as model input in order to evaluate the effects of water sources on the mango fruit yields. The RF models accurately estimated the maximum and mean values of mango fruit yields, and showed moderate accuracy for the minimum mango fruit yields. The variable importance measure computed in the RF calculation suggested that the timing of water supply affects the mango fruit yields whereby rainfall and irrigation have different effects on the mango fruit yields. This case study on the estimation of mango fruit yields demonstrates the applicability of RF in the field of agricultural engineering, with a specific focus on water management. The model performance and the information retrieved from the RF models allow for precise modelling and the development of improved management practices in target agricultural systems.

Suggested Citation

  • Fukuda, Shinji & Spreer, Wolfram & Yasunaga, Eriko & Yuge, Kozue & Sardsud, Vicha & Müller, Joachim, 2013. "Random Forests modelling for the estimation of mango (Mangifera indica L. cv. Chok Anan) fruit yields under different irrigation regimes," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 142-150.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:agiwat:v:116:y:2013:i:c:p:142-150
    DOI: 10.1016/j.agwat.2012.07.003
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Spreer, Wolfram & Ongprasert, Somchai & Hegele, Martin & Wnsche, Jens N. & Mller, Joachim, 2009. "Yield and fruit development in mango (Mangifera indica L. cv. Chok Anan) under different irrigation regimes," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 96(4), pages 574-584, April.
    2. de Azevedo, Pedro V. & da Silva, Bernardo B. & da Silva, Vicente P. R., 2003. "Water requirements of irrigated mango orchards in northeast Brazil," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 58(3), pages 241-254, February.
    3. Vincenzi, Simone & Zucchetta, Matteo & Franzoi, Piero & Pellizzato, Michele & Pranovi, Fabio & De Leo, Giulio A. & Torricelli, Patrizia, 2011. "Application of a Random Forest algorithm to predict spatial distribution of the potential yield of Ruditapes philippinarum in the Venice lagoon, Italy," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 222(8), pages 1471-1478.
    4. Spreer, W. & Nagle, M. & Neidhart, S. & Carle, R. & Ongprasert, S. & Muller, J., 2007. "Effect of regulated deficit irrigation and partial rootzone drying on the quality of mango fruits (Mangifera indica L., cv. `Chok Anan')," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 88(1-3), pages 173-180, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Jig Han Jeong & Jonathan P Resop & Nathaniel D Mueller & David H Fleisher & Kyungdahm Yun & Ethan E Butler & Dennis J Timlin & Kyo-Moon Shim & James S Gerber & Vangimalla R Reddy & Soo-Hyung Kim, 2016. "Random Forests for Global and Regional Crop Yield Predictions," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(6), pages 1-15, June.
    2. Liu, Xiaogang & Peng, Youliang & Yang, Qiliang & Wang, Xiukang & Cui, Ningbo, 2021. "Determining optimal deficit irrigation and fertilization to increase mango yield, quality, and WUE in a dry hot environment based on TOPSIS," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 245(C).
    3. Schulze, Katrin & Spreer, Wolfram & Keil, Alwin & Ongprasert, Somchai & Müller, Joachim, 2013. "Mango (Mangifera indica L. cv. Nam Dokmai) production in Northern Thailand—Costs and returns under extreme weather conditions and different irrigation treatments," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 46-55.
    4. Leontina Lipan & Aarón A. Carbonell-Pedro & Belén Cárceles Rodríguez & Víctor Hugo Durán-Zuazo & Dionisio Franco Tarifa & Iván Francisco García-Tejero & Baltasar Gálvez Ruiz & Simón Cuadros Tavira & R, 2021. "Can Sustained Deficit Irrigation Save Water and Meet the Quality Characteristics of Mango?," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-16, May.
    5. Mario Lillo-Saavedra & Alberto Espinoza-Salgado & Angel García-Pedrero & Camilo Souto & Eduardo Holzapfel & Consuelo Gonzalo-Martín & Marcelo Somos-Valenzuela & Diego Rivera, 2022. "Early Estimation of Tomato Yield by Decision Tree Ensembles," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-13, October.

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