IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/agisys/v212y2023ics0308521x23001750.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Prioritizing agronomic practices and uncertainty assessment under climate change for winter wheat in the loess plateau, China

Author

Listed:
  • Jiang, Tengcong
  • Wang, Bin
  • Duan, Xiaoning
  • Liu, De Li
  • He, Jianqiang
  • He, Liang
  • Jin, Ning
  • Feng, Hao
  • Yu, Qiang

Abstract

Enhancing the climate resilience of local food systems with adaptation options related to cultivar, irrigation, sowing, and fertilization presents significant opportunities for ensuring food security under climate change. The climate-crop modeling method is one of the main ways to customize climate adaptation strategies. However, there is a current lack of prioritization and uncertainty assessment regarding the potential of various adaptations feasible to local farmers.

Suggested Citation

  • Jiang, Tengcong & Wang, Bin & Duan, Xiaoning & Liu, De Li & He, Jianqiang & He, Liang & Jin, Ning & Feng, Hao & Yu, Qiang, 2023. "Prioritizing agronomic practices and uncertainty assessment under climate change for winter wheat in the loess plateau, China," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:agisys:v:212:y:2023:i:c:s0308521x23001750
    DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2023.103770
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0308521X23001750
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.agsy.2023.103770?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. S. Asseng & F. Ewert & C. Rosenzweig & J. W. Jones & J. L. Hatfield & A. C. Ruane & K. J. Boote & P. J. Thorburn & R. P. Rötter & D. Cammarano & N. Brisson & B. Basso & P. Martre & P. K. Aggarwal & C., 2013. "Uncertainty in simulating wheat yields under climate change," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(9), pages 827-832, September.
    2. Memon, Shamim Ara & Sheikh, Irfan Ahemd & Talpur, Mashooque Ali & Mangrio, Munir Ahmed, 2021. "Impact of deficit irrigation strategies on winter wheat in semi-arid climate of sindh," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    3. Ke Liu & Matthew Tom Harrison & Haoliang Yan & De Li Liu & Holger Meinke & Gerrit Hoogenboom & Bin Wang & Bin Peng & Kaiyu Guan & Jonas Jaegermeyr & Enli Wang & Feng Zhang & Xiaogang Yin & Sotirios Ar, 2023. "Silver lining to a climate crisis in multiple prospects for alleviating crop waterlogging under future climates," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-13, December.
    4. Tomoko Hasegawa & Shinichiro Fujimori & Petr Havlík & Hugo Valin & Benjamin Leon Bodirsky & Jonathan C. Doelman & Thomas Fellmann & Page Kyle & Jason F. L. Koopman & Hermann Lotze-Campen & Daniel Maso, 2018. "Risk of increased food insecurity under stringent global climate change mitigation policy," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 8(8), pages 699-703, August.
    5. Christian Folberth & Rastislav Skalský & Elena Moltchanova & Juraj Balkovič & Ligia B. Azevedo & Michael Obersteiner & Marijn van der Velde, 2016. "Uncertainty in soil data can outweigh climate impact signals in global crop yield simulations," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 7(1), pages 1-13, September.
    6. Sara Minoli & Jonas Jägermeyr & Senthold Asseng & Anton Urfels & Christoph Müller, 2022. "Global crop yields can be lifted by timely adaptation of growing periods to climate change," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-10, December.
    7. Huang, Mingxia & Wang, Jing & Wang, Bin & Liu, De Li & Feng, Puyu & Yu, Qiang & Pan, Xuebiao & Li, Siyi & Jiang, Tengcong, 2022. "Dominant sources of uncertainty in simulating maize adaptation under future climate scenarios in China," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    8. Li, Jiamin & Inanaga, Shinobu & Li, Zhaohu & Eneji, A. Egrinya, 2005. "Optimizing irrigation scheduling for winter wheat in the North China Plain," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 76(1), pages 8-23, July.
    9. Nouri, Milad & Homaee, Mehdi & Bannayan, Mohammad & Hoogenboom, Gerrit, 2017. "Towards shifting planting date as an adaptation practice for rainfed wheat response to climate change," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 186(C), pages 108-119.
    10. Kang, Shaozhong & Zhang, Lu & Liang, Yinli & Hu, Xiaotao & Cai, Huanjie & Gu, Binjie, 2002. "Effects of limited irrigation on yield and water use efficiency of winter wheat in the Loess Plateau of China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 55(3), pages 203-216, June.
    11. A. J. Challinor & J. Watson & D. B. Lobell & S. M. Howden & D. R. Smith & N. Chhetri, 2014. "A meta-analysis of crop yield under climate change and adaptation," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 4(4), pages 287-291, April.
    12. Timsina, J. & Godwin, D. & Humphreys, E. & Yadvinder-Singh & Bijay-Singh & Kukal, S.S. & Smith, D., 2008. "Evaluation of options for increasing yield and water productivity of wheat in Punjab, India using the DSSAT-CSM-CERES-Wheat model," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 95(9), pages 1099-1110, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Attia, Ahmed & Rajan, Nithya & Xue, Qingwu & Nair, Shyam & Ibrahim, Amir & Hays, Dirk, 2016. "Application of DSSAT-CERES-Wheat model to simulate winter wheat response to irrigation management in the Texas High Plains," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 50-60.
    2. Hao, Shirui & Ryu, Dongryeol & Western, Andrew W & Perry, Eileen & Bogena, Heye & Franssen, Harrie Jan Hendricks, 2024. "Global sensitivity analysis of APSIM-wheat yield predictions to model parameters and inputs," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 487(C).
    3. Zhang, Chao & Xie, Ziang & Wang, Qiaojuan & Tang, Min & Feng, Shaoyuan & Cai, Huanjie, 2022. "AquaCrop modeling to explore optimal irrigation of winter wheat for improving grain yield and water productivity," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 266(C).
    4. Fan, Yubing & Wang, Chenggang & Nan, Zhibiao, 2014. "Comparative evaluation of crop water use efficiency, economic analysis and net household profit simulation in arid Northwest China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 335-345.
    5. Ojeda, Jonathan J. & Huth, Neil & Holzworth, Dean & Raymundo, Rubí & Zyskowski, Robert F. & Sinton, Sarah M. & Michel, Alexandre J. & Brown, Hamish E., 2021. "Assessing errors during simulation configuration in crop models – A global case study using APSIM-Potato," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 458(C).
    6. You, Yongliang & Song, Ping & Yang, Xianlong & Zheng, Yapeng & Dong, Li & Chen, Jing, 2022. "Optimizing irrigation for winter wheat to maximize yield and maintain high-efficient water use in a semi-arid environment," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 273(C).
    7. Leghari, Shah Jahan & Hu, Kelin & Wei, Yichang & Wang, Tongchao & Bhutto, Tofique Ahmed & Buriro, Mahmooda, 2021. "Modelling water consumption, N fates and maize yield under different water-saving management practices in China and Pakistan," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 255(C).
    8. Fang, Q.X. & Ma, L. & Green, T.R. & Yu, Q. & Wang, T.D. & Ahuja, L.R., 2010. "Water resources and water use efficiency in the North China Plain: Current status and agronomic management options," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 97(8), pages 1102-1116, August.
    9. Markhof,Yannick Valentin & Ponzini,Giulia & Wollburg,Philip Randolph, 2022. "Measuring Disaster Crop Production Losses Using Survey Microdata : Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9968, The World Bank.
    10. Palosuo, Taru & Hoffmann, Munir P. & Rötter, Reimund P. & Lehtonen, Heikki S., 2021. "Sustainable intensification of crop production under alternative future changes in climate and technology: The case of the North Savo region," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).
    11. Zhang, Chun & Dong, Zhaoyun & Guo, Qin & Hu, Zhilin & Li, Juan & Wei, Ting & Ding, Ruixia & Cai, Tie & Ren, Xiaolong & Han, Qingfang & Zhang, Peng & Jia, Zhikuan, 2022. "Ridge–furrow rainwater harvesting combined with supplementary irrigation: Water-saving and yield-maintaining mode for winter wheat in a semiarid region based on 8-year in-situ experiment," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
    12. Zhao, Jie & Han, Tong & Wang, Chong & Jia, Hao & Worqlul, Abeyou W. & Norelli, Nicole & Zeng, Zhaohai & Chu, Qingquan, 2020. "Optimizing irrigation strategies to synchronously improve the yield and water productivity of winter wheat under interannual precipitation variability in the North China Plain," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).
    13. Ye, Tianyang & Ma, Jifeng & Zhang, Pei & Shan, Song & Liu, Leilei & Tang, Liang & Cao, Weixing & Liu, Bing & Zhu, Yan, 2022. "Interaction effects of irrigation and nitrogen on the coordination between crop water productivity and nitrogen use efficiency in wheat production on the North China Plain," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 271(C).
    14. Zhong, Honglin & Sun, Laixiang & Fischer, Günther & Tian, Zhan & Liang, Zhuoran, 2019. "Optimizing regional cropping systems with a dynamic adaptation strategy for water sustainable agriculture in the Hebei Plain," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 94-106.
    15. Kumar Jha, Shiva & Ramatshaba, Tefo Steve & Wang, Guangshuai & Liang, Yueping & Liu, Hao & Gao, Yang & Duan, Aiwang, 2019. "Response of growth, yield and water use efficiency of winter wheat to different irrigation methods and scheduling in North China Plain," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 217(C), pages 292-302.
    16. Fan, Yubing & Wang, Chenggang & Nan, Zhibiao, 2018. "Determining water use efficiency of wheat and cotton: A meta-regression analysis," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 199(C), pages 48-60.
    17. Qiao, Shengchao & Harrison, Sandy P. & Prentice, I. Colin & Wang, Han, 2023. "Optimality-based modelling of wheat sowing dates globally," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).
    18. Abdul Rehman & Luan Jingdong, 2017. "An econometric analysis of major Chinese food crops: An empirical study," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 1323372-132, January.
    19. Fan, Yubing & Wang, Chenggang & Nan, Zhibiao, 2016. "Determining water use efficiency for wheat and cotton: A meta-regression analysis," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 236059, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    20. Gotor, E. & Nedumaran, S. & Cenacchi, N. & Tran, N. & Dunston, S. & Dermawan, A. & Wiberg, David & Tesfaye, K. & Mausch, K. & Langan, Simon, 2021. "Land and water systems: looking to the future and a more resilient and sustainable society and environment," IWMI Working Papers H050899, International Water Management Institute.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:agisys:v:212:y:2023:i:c:s0308521x23001750. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/agsy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.