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Strategic agricultural land-use planning in response to water-supplier variation in a China’s rural region

  • Lu, H.W.
  • Huang, G.H.
  • Zhang, Y.M.
  • He, L.
Registered author(s):

    A strategic agricultural land-use planning approach was proposed in response to water-supplier variation under parameter uncertainty. It was capable of examining the implication of various water-suppliers on agricultural land-use planning problems, interpreting the response of land-use schemes to water-supply patterns with respect to a variety of systematic features, and handling uncertain parameters widely existing in many real-world practices. A case study in central-south China demonstrated the applicability of the proposed approach. The modeling inputs of economic-related parameters were identified as intervals based on statistic data, while those related to water availability were predicted through a distributed hydrological model. Scenarios of (1) no groundwater supplementation, (2) 20% of groundwater supplementation, and (3) 40% of groundwater supplementation to total water demand were considered to generate optimal land-use plans. Reasonable results were obtained, which were then used to interpret the implication of water-supplier variation on planning sustainable development strategies. A special rate of groundwater supplementation (i.e. 20.1%) was also suggested to the manager to facilitate regulating long-term water-allocation schemes.

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    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0308521X11001570
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    Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Agricultural Systems.

    Volume (Year): 108 (2012)
    Issue (Month): C ()
    Pages: 19-28

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    Handle: RePEc:eee:agisys:v:108:y:2012:i:c:p:19-28
    DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2011.10.007
    Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/agsy

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