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Trade effects of climate change: An application to MENA countries


  • Nicolas Péridy

    () (Université de Toulon (LEAD))

  • Marc Brunetto

    () (Université de Toulon (LEAD))


This paper tests the relationship between climate and trade of agricultural products in MENA countries, using bilateral data disaggregated at product level. The model includes gravity control variables and addresses the selection bias with disaggregated production variables in a Heckman two-step procedure. Results show that a rise in temperature and a decrease in precipitation significantly reduce exports and increase imports in MENA countries. This raises the question of food security in these countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Nicolas Péridy & Marc Brunetto, 2013. "Trade effects of climate change: An application to MENA countries," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 33(4), pages 2905-2912.
  • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-13-00270

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. James E. Anderson & Eric van Wincoop, 2003. "Gravity with Gravitas: A Solution to the Border Puzzle," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 93(1), pages 170-192, March.
    2. Melissa Dell & Benjamin F. Jones & Benjamin A. Olken, 2009. "Temperature and Income: Reconciling New Cross-Sectional and Panel Estimates," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 99(2), pages 198-204, May.
    3. Peter Egger & Michael Pfaffermayr, 2003. "The proper panel econometric specification of the gravity equation: A three-way model with bilateral interaction effects," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 28(3), pages 571-580, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Farhani, Sahbi & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Sbia, Rashid & Chaibi, Anissa, 2014. "What does MENA region initially need: Grow output or mitigate CO2 emissions?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 270-281.

    More about this item


    trade; climate; agriculture; MENA countries;

    JEL classification:

    • F1 - International Economics - - Trade


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