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Detecting changes in persistence in linear time series

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  • Steven Cook

    ()

    (University of Wales Swansea)

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    Abstract

    The properties of the 'change in persistence'' tests developed by Leybourne et al. (2003) are considered in the presence of structural change under the null. Interestingly, it is found that while breaks in drift result in undersizing, breaks in level lead to severe oversizing. The implications of these findings for both empirical research and the development of an alternative approach to the testing of a change in persistence are noted.

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    File URL: http://www.accessecon.com/pubs/EB/2004/Volume3/EB-04C40004A.pdf
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    Article provided by AccessEcon in its journal Economics Bulletin.

    Volume (Year): 3 (2004)
    Issue (Month): 24 ()
    Pages: 1-11

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    Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-04c40004
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    Find related papers by JEL classification:

    • C4 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics
    • C2 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables

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    1. Ulrich K. M¸ller & Graham Elliott, 2003. "Tests for Unit Roots and the Initial Condition," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(4), pages 1269-1286, 07.
    2. Leybourne, Stephen & Taylor, A. M. Robert, 2004. "On tests for changes in persistence," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 84(1), pages 107-115, July.
    3. Banerjee, Anindya & Lumsdaine, Robin L & Stock, James H, 1992. "Recursive and Sequential Tests of the Unit-Root and Trend-Break Hypotheses: Theory and International Evidence," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 10(3), pages 271-287, July.
    4. Perron, Pierre, 1989. "The Great Crash, the Oil Price Shock, and the Unit Root Hypothesis," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(6), pages 1361-1401, November.
    5. Perron, Pierre, 1990. "Testing for a Unit Root in a Time Series with a Changing Mean," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 8(2), pages 153-162, April.
    6. Busetti, Fabio & Taylor, A. M. Robert, 2004. "Tests of stationarity against a change in persistence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 123(1), pages 33-66, November.
    7. Kim, Jae-Young & Belaire-Franch, Jorge & Amador, Rosa Badillo, 2002. "Corrigendum to "Detection of change in persistence of a linear time series" [J. Econom. 95 (2000) 97-116]," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 109(2), pages 389-392, August.
    8. Zivot, Eric & Andrews, Donald W K, 2002. "Further Evidence on the Great Crash, the Oil-Price Shock, and the Unit-Root Hypothesis," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(1), pages 25-44, January.
    9. Leybourne, Stephen J. & C. Mills, Terence & Newbold, Paul, 1998. "Spurious rejections by Dickey-Fuller tests in the presence of a break under the null," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 87(1), pages 191-203, August.
    10. Stephen J. Leybourne And Paul Newbold, 2000. "Behaviour of the standard and symmetric Dickey-Fuller-type tests when there is a break under the null hypothesis," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 3(1), pages 1-15.
    11. Kim, Jae-Young, 2000. "Detection of change in persistence of a linear time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 95(1), pages 97-116, March.
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