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Aging, Retirement, And Pay-As-You-Go Pensions

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  • Cipriani, Giam Pietro

Abstract

In this paper, we consider the effects of population aging on a pay-as-you-go financed defined contributions pension scheme. We show that when retirement decisions are endogenous, aging increases the retirement age and the steady-state level of capital. The effect on pension payouts is in general ambiguous, except for the solution of full retirement, when this effect is unambiguously negative.

Suggested Citation

  • Cipriani, Giam Pietro, 2018. "Aging, Retirement, And Pay-As-You-Go Pensions," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(5), pages 1173-1183, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:macdyn:v:22:y:2018:i:05:p:1173-1183_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Baldi, Mauro Maria & Coppier, Raffaella & Michetti, Elisabetta, 2025. "Elderly labor supply, endogenous grandparental childcare, and fertility in an OLG model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    2. Jaimes, Richard & Westerhout, Ed, 2023. "Optimal policies in an ageing society," The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    3. Hirono, Makoto & Mino, Kazuo, 2019. "Pension, Retirement, and Growth in the Presence Heterogeneous Elderly," MPRA Paper 98096, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Hott, Christian, 2019. "Save or pay-as-you-go: The effcts of ageing on optimal retirement funding," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203642, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    5. Chen, Hung-Ju & Huang, Shang-Chieh & Miyazaki, Koichi, 2024. "Life expectancy, fertility, and retirement in an endogenous-growth model with human capital accumulation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    6. Chen Hung-Ju & Miyazaki Koichi, 2022. "Pay-as-You-Go Social Security and Educational Subsidy in an Overlapping Generations Model with Endogenous Fertility and Endogenous Retirement," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 22(2), pages 787-820, June.
    7. Maria Teresa Medeiros Garcia & André Fernando Rodrigues Rocha da Silva, 2023. "Pension expenditure determinants: the case of Portugal," Public Sector Economics, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 47(2), pages 177-203.
    8. Marina Tabatadze, 2019. "Optimal Structure of Pension System and Its Influence on the Social Policy of State Budget," Proceedings of the 13th International RAIS Conference, June 10-11, 2019 03 MT, Research Association for Interdisciplinary Studies.
    9. Nguyen, Quynh-Nga, 2024. "Intergenerational time transfer, retirement and public pensions," The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    10. Kim, Jae-Yoon & Lee, Dongwoo, 2024. "Pension systems revisited in the age of automation and an aging economy," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    11. Hirono, Makoto & Mino, Kazuo, 2020. "Pension Reforms, Population Aging, and Retirement Decision of the Elderly in a Neoclassical Growth Model," MPRA Paper 102467, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Inagaki, Kazuyuki, 2021. "How are the international capital flows of rapidly aging countries affected by the elderly working longer?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 285-297.
    13. Partha Sen, 2020. "Postponing Retirement and Social Security in a Two Sector Model," CESifo Working Paper Series 8751, CESifo.
    14. Wei Gao & Chengliang Yan & Fuyang Zhao, 2021. "Longevity, Grandparents Caring, and PAYG Pensions," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 22(2), pages 451-465, November.
    15. Maria Teresa Medeiros Garcia & André Fernando Rodrigues Rocha da Silva, 2019. "Assessing Pension Expenditure Determinants – the Case of Portugal," Working Papers REM 2019/68, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    16. Florin Cornel DUMITER & Ștefania Amalia NICOARĂ & Marius BOIȚĂ & Erika LOUČANOVÁ & Katarina Repkova STOFKOVA, 2024. "Empirical Study Regarding the Central and Eastern European Countries’ Soundness of Pension Systems. Triangle Assessment: Social, Economic, and Financial Features of Pension Systems," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 105-127, December.
    17. Matthias Schön, 2023. "Demographic change and the rate of return in pay-as-you-go pension systems," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 36(3), pages 1799-1827, July.
    18. Balteș Nicolae & Jimon Ștefania Amalia, 2018. "Considerations Regarding the Pension Systems in Countries of Central and Eastern Europe," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 0(2), pages 94-99, December.
    19. Alberto Bucci & Klaus Prettner, 2020. "Endogenous education and the reversal in the relationship between fertility and economic growth," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 33(3), pages 1025-1068, July.
    20. Cipriani, Giam Pietro & Fioroni, Tamara, 2021. "Endogenous Demographic Change, Retirement, And Social Security," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(3), pages 609-631, April.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
    • H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions

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