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Stepping-Up: Impacts of Armed Conflicts on Land Expansion

Author

Listed:
  • Adelaja, Adesoji
  • George, Justin
  • Jayne, Thomas
  • Muyanga, Milu
  • Awokuse, Titus
  • Aromolaran, Adebayo
  • Liverpool-Tasie, Lenis Saweda O.

Abstract

Land expansion by existing smallholder farmers (SHFs), aka stepping-up, is a major pathway to the rise of medium-scale farmers (MSFs) in Africa. In this paper, we investigate if and how armed conflicts constrain the ability of SHFs to transition to MSFs. We find that increased conflict intensity reduces the likelihood that a SHF will expand to a larger scale, especially for farmers who rely mostly on farm incomes, rather than off-farm incomes, for their livelihoods. These findings uphold other evidence that peace and stability influence private investment, including land-based investments, that are associated with economic transformation.

Suggested Citation

  • Adelaja, Adesoji & George, Justin & Jayne, Thomas & Muyanga, Milu & Awokuse, Titus & Aromolaran, Adebayo & Liverpool-Tasie, Lenis Saweda O., 2023. "Stepping-Up: Impacts of Armed Conflicts on Land Expansion," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 55(4), pages 748-769, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:jagaec:v:55:y:2023:i:4:p:748-769_9
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    Cited by:

    1. Olanrewaju, Opeyemi & Bamiwuye, Temilolu & Omotayo, Abiodun Olusola, 2025. "Impact of conflict shocks on land rental market dynamics: Panel evidence from Nigeria," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    2. Klaus W. Deininger & Daniel Ayalew Ali & Kussul,Nataliia & Lemoine,Guido & Shelestov,Andrii, 2024. "Micro-Level Impacts of the War on Ukraine’s Agriculture Sector : Distinguishing Local and National Effects over Time," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10869, The World Bank.
    3. repec:cam:camjip:2426 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Lateef, Lukumon Olaitan & Tella, Abdulwaheed & Miano, John Rowen & Aina, Yusuf A., 2025. "Revealing land use dynamics in armed-conflict hotspots in North-East Nigeria using earth observation data," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    5. Ayalew, Hailemariam & Berhane, Guush & Wondale, Meseret & Breisinger, Clemens, 2024. "Farming under fire: The interplay of armed conflict and climate-induced weather disruptions in agricultural input use," IFPRI discussion papers 168640, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    6. Deininger, Klaus W. & Ali, Daniel Ayalew & Nataliia, Kussul & Lemoine, Guido & Shelestov, Andrii & Shumilo, Leonid, 2025. "Using Remotely Sensed Data to Assess War-Induced Damage to Agricultural Cultivation : Evidence from Ukraine," Policy Research Working Paper Series 11221, The World Bank.
    7. Vesco, Paola & Baliki, Ghassan & Brück, Tilman & Döring, Stefan & Eriksson, Anneli & Fjelde, Hanne & Guha-Sapir, Debarati & Hall, Jonathan & Knutsen, Carl Henrik & Leis, Maxine R. & Mueller, Hannes & , 2025. "The impacts of armed conflict on human development: A review of the literature," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    8. Amare, Mulubrhan & Abay, Kibrom A. & Berhane, Guush & Andam, Kwaw S. & Adeyanju, Dolapo, 2025. "Conflicts, crop choice, and agricultural investments: Empirical evidence from Nigeria," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).

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