IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/col/000443/020958.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Ibovespa’s response to the behavior of oil and ore prices during the international crisis caused by COVID-19

Author

Listed:
  • Sánchez Arévalo, Jorge Luis

    (University of Mato Grosso do Sul)

  • Ferreira de Andrade, Alisson Maxwell

    (University of Mato Grosso do Sul)

  • de Oliveira Vendramin, Elisabeth

    (University of Mato Grosso do Sul)

Abstract

The systemic risk caused by COVID-19 affected all sectors of the economy, thus showing the vulnerability of some sectors in comparison to others. In this context, the supply shock experienced by the iron ore sector has drawn attention and resulted in a price increase. Linked to this, and in a negative way, oil prices fell due, among other factors, to the price war between producing countries.In this sense, this study analyses the volatility of the Brazilian stock market indicator in relation to the prices of the aforementioned products and the price of the dollar. The results show the importance of the price formation in these markets for the variation of the indicator. The appreciation of Brent oil and iron ore prices on the Dalian Commodity Exchange (DCE), in China, caused the Ibovespa indicator to move in the same direction. In addition, in statistical terms, the study highlights the great importance of the exchange rate as a determinant in the variation of the indicator and, consequently, affecting the intention to invest.

Suggested Citation

  • Sánchez Arévalo, Jorge Luis & Ferreira de Andrade, Alisson Maxwell & de Oliveira Vendramin, Elisabeth, 2023. "Ibovespa’s response to the behavior of oil and ore prices during the international crisis caused by COVID-19," Revista Finanzas y Politica Economica, Universidad Católica de Colombia, vol. 15(1), pages 21-43, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000443:020958
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://revfinypolecon.ucatolica.edu.co/article/view/4406
    File Function: Full text
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mohammad Hassan Shakil & Is’haq Muhammad Mustapha & Mashiyat Tasnia & Buerhan Saiti, 2018. "Is gold a hedge or a safe haven? An application of ARDL approach," Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 23(44), pages 60-76, February.
    2. Peersman, Gert & Rüth, Sebastian K. & Van der Veken, Wouter, 2021. "The interplay between oil and food commodity prices: Has it changed over time?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    3. Zavadska, Miroslava & Morales, Lucía & Coughlan, Joseph, 2020. "Brent crude oil prices volatility during major crises," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    4. Falato, Antonio & Goldstein, Itay & Hortaçsu, Ali, 2021. "Financial fragility in the COVID-19 crisis: The case of investment funds in corporate bond markets," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 35-52.
    5. Dickey, David A & Fuller, Wayne A, 1981. "Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 49(4), pages 1057-1072, June.
    6. Rana Ejaz Ali Khan & Rafaquat Ali, 2015. "Causality Analysis of Volatility in Exchange Rate and Stock Market Prices: A Case Study of Pakistan," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 5(5), pages 805-815, May.
    7. Rana Ejaz Ali Khan & Rafaquat Ali, 2015. "Causality Analysis of Volatility in Exchange Rate and Stock Market Prices: A Case Study of Pakistan," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 5(5), pages 805-815.
    8. Marco Flávio da Cunha Resende & Fábio Henrique Bittes Terra & Fernando Ferrari Filho, 2021. "Conventions, Money Creation and Public Debt to Face the Covid-19 Crisis and its Aftermath: A Post-Keynesian View," Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Center of Political Economy, vol. 41(2), pages 254-270.
    9. Drenik, Andrés & Perez, Diego J., 2021. "Domestic price dollarization in emerging economies," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 38-55.
    10. Sakiru Adebola Solarin & Olabisi Olabode Eric, 2015. "Impact of Economic Globalization on Human Capital: Evidence from Nigerian Economy," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 5(3), pages 786-789.
    11. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    12. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
    13. Mourad Mroua & Lotfi Trabelsi, 2020. "Causality and dynamic relationships between exchange rate and stock market indices in BRICS countries," Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 25(50), pages 395-412, April.
    14. Johansen, Soren, 1995. "Likelihood-Based Inference in Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198774501.
    15. Joe Garmondyu Greaves, 2018. "Investigating Saving and Investment Relationship: Evidence from an Autoregressive Distributed Lag Bounds Testing Approach in Liberia," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 8(4), pages 89-104.
    16. Montes, Gabriel Caldas & Tiberto, Bruno Pires, 2012. "Macroeconomic environment, country risk and stock market performance: Evidence for Brazil," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(5), pages 1666-1678.
    17. Mohd Fahmi Ghazali & Hooi Hooi Lean & Zakaria Bahari, 2020. "Does Gold Investment Offer Protection Against Stock Market Losses? Evidence From Five Countries," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 65(02), pages 275-301, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Levent KORAP, 2008. "Exchange Rate Determination Of Tl/Us$:A Co-Integration Approach," Istanbul University Econometrics and Statistics e-Journal, Department of Econometrics, Faculty of Economics, Istanbul University, vol. 7(1), pages 24-50, May.
    2. Pedro Hugo Clavijo Cortes, 2017. "Balance comercial y volatilidad del tipo de cambio nominal: Un estudio de series de tiempo para Colombia," Revista Economía y Región, Universidad Tecnológica de Bolívar, vol. 11(1), pages 37-58, June.
    3. Sulaiman, Saidu & Masih, Mansur, 2017. "Is liberalizing finance the game in town for Nigeria ?," MPRA Paper 95569, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Jude Okechukwu Chukwu, 2013. "Budget Deficits, Money Growth and Price Level in Nigeria," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 25(4), pages 468-477, December.
    5. Md Shahiduzzaman & Allan Layton & Khorshed Alam, 2015. "On the contribution of information and communication technology to productivity growth in Australia," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 48(3), pages 281-304, November.
    6. Mohammad Jaforullah & Alan King, 2015. "is New Zealand's economy vulnerable to world oil market shocks?," Working Papers 1503, University of Otago, Department of Economics, revised Mar 2015.
    7. Tariq Hussain & Ahmad Raza Ul Mustafa & Makhdum M.I. & Kaleem Ullah, 2022. "Defense Expenditures, Fiscal Deficit And Debt Servicing Nexus: A Case Study Of Pakistan," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 11(2), pages 74-83, June.
    8. H. Bayram Irhan & Nur Dilbaz Alacahan & Levent Korap, 2011. "An Empirical Model for the Turkish Trade Balance: New Evidence from ARDL Bounds Testing Analyses," Istanbul University Econometrics and Statistics e-Journal, Department of Econometrics, Faculty of Economics, Istanbul University, vol. 14(1), pages 38-61, May.
    9. Thuy Thu Nguyen & Hong Thi Mai & Tram Thi Minh Tran, 2020. "Monetary Policy and Stock Market Returns: Evidence from ARDL Bounds Testing Approach for the Case of Vietnam," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 10(7), pages 758-777, July.
    10. Samih Antoine Azar & Angelic Salha, 2017. "The Bias in the Long Run Relation between the Prices of BRENT and West Texas Intermediate Crude Oils," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 7(1), pages 44-54.
    11. Mohamed Maher & Yanzhi Zhao, 2022. "Do Political Instability and Military Expenditure Undermine Economic Growth in Egypt? Evidence from the ARDL Approach," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(8), pages 956-979, November.
    12. Hasanov, Fakhri & Huseynov, Fariz, 2013. "Bank credits and non-oil economic growth: Evidence from Azerbaijan," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 597-610.
    13. Fakhri J. Hasanov & Lester C. Hunt & Ceyhun I. Mikayilov, 2016. "Modeling and Forecasting Electricity Demand in Azerbaijan Using Cointegration Techniques," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-31, December.
    14. Hauser, Shmuel & Kedar-Levy, Haim & Milo, Orit, 2022. "Price discovery during parallel stocks and options preopening: Information distortion and hints of manipulation," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 59(PA).
    15. Maria Soledad Martinez Peria, 2002. "The Impact of Banking Crises on Money Demand and Price Stability," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 49(3), pages 1-1.
    16. Mohammad I. Elian & Khalid M. Kisswani, 2018. "Oil price changes and stock market returns: cointegration evidence from emerging market," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 51(4), pages 317-337, November.
    17. Hande Aksöz Yılmaz, 2020. "The Impact of Foreign Trade on Immigration from Turkey to Germany: ARDL Bounds Test Approach," Journal of Economy Culture and Society, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 62(62), pages 123-143, December.
    18. Siddiqi, Umema, 2021. "Estimating Long-Run Cointegration between Gold Prices and its Determinants," MPRA Paper 103182, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Bagnai, Alberto & Mongeau Ospina, Christian Alexander, 2015. "Long- and short-run price asymmetries and hysteresis in the Italian gasoline market," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 41-50.
    20. Ansgar Belke & Robert Czudaj, 2010. "Is Euro Area Money Demand (Still) Stable? Cointegrated VAR Versus Single Equation Techniques," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, vol. 56(4), pages 285-315.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Supply and demand shock; Brazilian market; ARDL Model; Financial markets; Econometrics;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:col:000443:020958. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Universidad Católica de Colombia (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/feuccco.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.