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Interpreting the Forward Premium Anomaly

Author

Listed:
  • David K. Backus
  • Silverio Foresi
  • Chris I. Telmer

Abstract

One of the central issues in international finance concerns the forward premium anomaly: changes in spot exchange rates are inversely related to the premium of forward rates over spot rates. The authors construct a numerical example of a theoretical economy with this property and discuss its potential as an explanation of the anomaly.

Suggested Citation

  • David K. Backus & Silverio Foresi & Chris I. Telmer, 1995. "Interpreting the Forward Premium Anomaly," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 28(s1), pages 108-119, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:cje:issued:v:28:y:1995:i:s1:p:108-119
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    Cited by:

    1. Lafuente, Juan A. & Pérez, Rafaela & Ruiz, Jesús, 2016. "Monetary policy regimes and the forward bias for foreign exchange," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 13-28.
    2. Matos, Paulo Rogério Faustino & Costa, Carlos Eugênio da & Issler, João Victor, 2007. "The forward- and the equity-premium puzzles: two symptoms of the same illness?," FGV/EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 649, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).
    3. Fernando Alvarez & Andrew Atkeson & Patrick J. Kehoe, 2009. "Time-Varying Risk, Interest Rates, and Exchange Rates in General Equilibrium," Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 76(3), pages 851-878.
    4. Peiris, M.Udara & Polemarchakis, Herakles, 2015. "Quantitative Easing in an Open Economy : Prices, Exchange Rates and Risk Premia," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1094, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    5. Moore, Michael J. & Roche, Maurice J., 2002. "Less of a puzzle: a new look at the forward forex market," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(2), pages 387-411, December.
    6. Kumar, Satish & Trück, Stefan, 2014. "Unbiasedness and risk premiums in the Indian currency futures market," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 13-32.

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