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Zur zukünftigen Entwicklung der Lebenserwartung in den G7-Ländern – Modellrechnungen bis 2050


  • Eckart Bomsdorf
  • Bernhard Babel


In den meisten hoch entwickelten Ländern ist die Lebenserwartung im letzten Jahrhundert stark angestiegen. 2004 legte Eckart Bomsdorf, Universität zu Köln, Modellrechnungen zur zukünftigen Entwicklung der Lebenserwartung in Deutschland vor. In diesem vom Bomsdorf zusammen mit Bernhard Babel, Universität zu Köln, verfassten Beitrag werden diese Berechnungen erweitert und Modellrechnungen zur zukünftigen Entwicklung der Lebenserwartung in den G7-Ländern vorgestellt. Die Ergebnisse zeigen einen weiteren Anstieg der Lebenserwartung in den betrachteten Ländern; außerdem deuten die jüngsten Trends auf einen Rückgang der Unterschiede zwischen der Lebenserwartung von Frauen und Männern hin.

Suggested Citation

  • Eckart Bomsdorf & Bernhard Babel, 2008. "Zur zukünftigen Entwicklung der Lebenserwartung in den G7-Ländern – Modellrechnungen bis 2050," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 61(01), pages 21-25, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:61:y:2008:i:01:p:21-25

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Vladimir Canudas-Romo & Robert Schoen, 2005. "Age-specific contributions to changes in the period and cohort life expectancy," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 13(3), pages 63-82, August.
    2. Pitacco, Ermanno, 2004. "Survival models in a dynamic context: a survey," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 279-298, October.
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    More about this item


    Sterblichkeit; G-7-Staaten; Frauen; Männer;

    JEL classification:

    • J10 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - General
    • J16 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Economics of Gender; Non-labor Discrimination


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