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Societal Ageing in the Netherlands: A Robust System Dynamics Approach

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  • David C. Lane
  • Özge Pala
  • Yaman Barlas
  • Willem L. Auping
  • Erik Pruyt
  • Jan H. Kwakkel

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  • David C. Lane & Özge Pala & Yaman Barlas & Willem L. Auping & Erik Pruyt & Jan H. Kwakkel, 2015. "Societal Ageing in the Netherlands: A Robust System Dynamics Approach," Systems Research and Behavioral Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(4), pages 485-501, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:srbeha:v:32:y:2015:i:4:p:485-501
    DOI: 10.1002/sres.2340
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Warren E. Walker & Marjolijn Haasnoot & Jan H. Kwakkel, 2013. "Adapt or Perish: A Review of Planning Approaches for Adaptation under Deep Uncertainty," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-25, March.
    2. Steve Bankes, 1993. "Exploratory Modeling for Policy Analysis," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 41(3), pages 435-449, June.
    3. Nico Keilman, 2008. "European Demographic Forecasts Have Not Become More Accurate Over the Past 25 Years," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 34(1), pages 137-153, March.
    4. Meyerson, Noah & Sabelhaus, John, 2000. "Uncertainty in Social Security Trust Fund Projections," National Tax Journal, National Tax Association;National Tax Journal, vol. 53(3), pages 515-530, September.
    5. Meyerson, Noah & Sabelhaus, John, 2000. "Uncertainty in Social Security Trust Fund Projections," National Tax Journal, National Tax Association, vol. 53(n. 3), pages 515-30, September.
    6. Lassila, Jukka & Valkonen, Tarmo & Alho, Juha M., 2014. "Demographic forecasts and fiscal policy rules," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(4), pages 1098-1109.
    7. Lee, Ronald & Tuljapurkar, Shripad, 1998. "Uncertain Demographic Futures and Social Security Finances," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 88(2), pages 237-241, May.
    8. Alho, Juha M., 2014. "Forecasting demographic forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(4), pages 1128-1135.
    9. Bos, Frits, 2006. "De Nederlandse collectieve uitgaven in historisch perspectief [Dutch public expenditure in historical perspective]," MPRA Paper 40602, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Robert J. Lempert & David G. Groves & Steven W. Popper & Steve C. Bankes, 2006. "A General, Analytic Method for Generating Robust Strategies and Narrative Scenarios," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 52(4), pages 514-528, April.
    11. Kwakkel, Jan H. & Auping, Willem L. & Pruyt, Erik, 2013. "Dynamic scenario discovery under deep uncertainty: The future of copper," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 80(4), pages 789-800.
    12. Erik Pruyt & Tom Logtens, 2015. "Model-Based Exploration of Societal Aging in the Netherlands," International Journal of System Dynamics Applications (IJSDA), IGI Global, vol. 4(1), pages 57-95, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Carmine Bianchi, 2015. "Enhancing Joined‐Up Government and Outcome‐Based Performance Management through System Dynamics Modelling to Deal with Wicked Problems: the Case of Societal Ageing," Systems Research and Behavioral Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(4), pages 502-505, July.
    2. Luis Camilo Ortigueira-Sánchez, 2017. "Influencing factors on citizen safety perception: systems and broken windows theories," International Review on Public and Nonprofit Marketing, Springer;International Association of Public and Non-Profit Marketing, vol. 14(1), pages 95-111, March.
    3. Julie Shortridge & Seth Guikema & Ben Zaitchik, 2017. "Robust decision making in data scarce contexts: addressing data and model limitations for infrastructure planning under transient climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 140(2), pages 323-337, January.
    4. David C. Lane & Özge Pala & Yaman Barlas & David C. Lane & Özge Pala & Yaman Barlas, 2015. "Health, Demographic Change and Well-Being: The European Union's Horizon 2020 Programme and System Dynamics," Systems Research and Behavioral Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(4), pages 407-413, July.
    5. A. Sardi & E. Sorano, 2021. "Dynamic Performance Management: An Approach for Managing the Common Goods," Papers 2102.04090, arXiv.org.
    6. Anastasia Blouchoutzi & Georgios Tsaples & Dimitra Manou & Jason Papathanasiou, 2023. "Investigating Public–Private Cooperation in Migrant Labor Market Integration: A System Dynamics Study to Explore the Challenge for Greece," Economies, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-27, January.
    7. Erik Pruyt & Tushith Islam, 2015. "On generating and exploring the behavior space of complex models," System Dynamics Review, System Dynamics Society, vol. 31(4), pages 220-249, October.
    8. Kwakkel, J.H. & Cunningham, S.C., 2016. "Improving scenario discovery by bagging random boxes," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 124-134.
    9. Jan H. Kwakkel, 2019. "A generalized many‐objective optimization approach for scenario discovery," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 1(2), June.
    10. Alberto Sardi & Enrico Sorano, 2019. "Dynamic Performance Management: An Approach for Managing the Common Goods," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(22), pages 1-22, November.

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