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Incorporating Collateral Value Uncertainty in Loss Given Default Estimates and Loan‐to‐value Ratios

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  • Esa Jokivuolle
  • Samu Peura

Abstract

We present a model of risky debt in which collateral value is correlated with the possibility of default. The model is then used to study the expected loss given default, primarily as a function of collateral. The results obtained could prove useful for estimating losses given default in many popular models of credit risk which assume them constant. We also examine the problem of determining sufficient collateral to secure a loan to a desired extent. In addition to bank practitioners, regulators might find our analysis useful in reviewing banks’ lending standards relative to current collateral values. In particular, the current proposals for The New (Basel) Capital Accord involve options for the use of banks’ own loss given default estimates which might benefit from the analysis in this paper.

Suggested Citation

  • Esa Jokivuolle & Samu Peura, 2003. "Incorporating Collateral Value Uncertainty in Loss Given Default Estimates and Loan‐to‐value Ratios," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 9(3), pages 299-314, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:eufman:v:9:y:2003:i:3:p:299-314
    DOI: 10.1111/1468-036X.00222
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    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-036X.00222
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    1. Robert A. Jarrow & David Lando & Stuart M. Turnbull, 2008. "A Markov Model for the Term Structure of Credit Risk Spreads," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Financial Derivatives Pricing Selected Works of Robert Jarrow, chapter 18, pages 411-453, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    2. Black, Fischer & Scholes, Myron S, 1973. "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 637-654, May-June.
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