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Immigration and Unemployment

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  • GLENN WITHERS
  • DAVID POPE

Abstract

The wisdom of maintaining high levels of immigration into Australia has been questioned, particularly on the grounds that migration contributes to aggregate unemployment. This paper uses both statistical causality techniques and conventional structural models to investigate the relationship between immigration and unemployment in the post‐war period in Australia. The tests find no evidence of any association from migration to unemployment, though there is strong evidence of a significant effect of Australian unemployment on migration. The results indicate that immigration policy should not be dictated by unfounded fears of immigration causing unemployment, at least over the range of previous Australian experience.

Suggested Citation

  • Glenn Withers & David Pope, 1985. "Immigration and Unemployment," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 61(2), pages 554-564, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:ecorec:v:61:y:1985:i:2:p:554-564
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1475-4932.1985.tb02010.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sargent, Thomas J, 1981. "Interpreting Economic Time Series," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 89(2), pages 213-248, April.
    2. Sargent, Thomas J, 1976. "A Classical Macroeconometric Model for the United States," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 84(2), pages 207-237, April.
    3. Warren, Ronald Jr., 1982. "Immigration and the natural rate of unemployment in Australia," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 4(4), pages 449-457.
    4. repec:bla:ecorec:v:60:y:1984:i:168:p:57-67 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. David S. Harrison, 1984. "The Impact of Immigration on a Depressed Labour Market: The South Australian Experience," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 60(1), pages 57-67, March.
    6. repec:bla:ecorec:v:56:y:1980:i:154:p:231-43 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Granger, C W J, 1969. "Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 37(3), pages 424-438, July.
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