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An Experimental Method in Juxtaposing Draft Picks and Active Players

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  • Jemuel Chandrakumaran

Abstract

Trading picks are a common transaction that is observed in sporting leagues that conduct player drafts. However, with its evolution, current iterations allow for the trading of picks and players, which in turn raises questions about valuing such trades. This study proposes a pick valuation system using survival analysis techniques, which was further extended to value players who were already enlisted. The model proved to be viable, allowing to evaluate trades involving both picks and players.

Suggested Citation

  • Jemuel Chandrakumaran, 2022. "An Experimental Method in Juxtaposing Draft Picks and Active Players," Economic Papers, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 41(1), pages 68-77, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:econpa:v:41:y:2022:i:1:p:68-77
    DOI: 10.1111/1759-3441.12314
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jemuel Chandrakumaran, 2020. "How Did the AFL National Draft Mitigate Perverse Incentives?," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 21(2), pages 139-151, February.
    2. Jeff Borland & Mark Chicu & Robert D. Macdonald, 2009. "Do Teams Always Lose to Win? Performance Incentives and the Player Draft in the Australian Football League," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 10(5), pages 451-484, October.
    3. Cade Massey & Richard H. Thaler, 2013. "The Loser's Curse: Decision Making and Market Efficiency in the National Football League Draft," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 59(7), pages 1479-1495, July.
    4. Schuckers Michael, 2011. "An Alternative to the NFL Draft Pick Value Chart Based upon Player Performance," Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, De Gruyter, vol. 7(2), pages 1-14, May.
    5. Jemuel Chandrakumaran, 2021. "The AFL Pick Trading Market as a Coasian Utopia," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 22(1), pages 75-84, January.
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