IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bla/acctfi/v62y2022i3p3951-3985.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

How well do analysts really understand asymmetric cost behaviour?

Author

Listed:
  • Minzhi Wu
  • Mark Wilson

Abstract

Prior literature suggests analysts have a very poor understanding of asymmetric cost behaviour (‘ACB’) and ‘converge to the average’ when incorporating this behaviour in forecasts. However, we show that the extent of bias arising from sticky costs is greater for firms (‘Defenders’) employing strategic approaches for which ACB is less commonly observed, and that ACB typically has no association with forecast errors for firms who typically demonstrate high degrees of cost stickiness (‘Prospectors’). Our findings are consistent with analysts having a meaningful understanding of ACB and cross‐sectional differences in the likelihood of its incidence.

Suggested Citation

  • Minzhi Wu & Mark Wilson, 2022. "How well do analysts really understand asymmetric cost behaviour?," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 62(3), pages 3951-3985, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:acctfi:v:62:y:2022:i:3:p:3951-3985
    DOI: 10.1111/acfi.12911
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/acfi.12911
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1111/acfi.12911?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mark C. Anderson & Rajiv D. Banker & Surya N. Janakiraman, 2003. "Are Selling, General, and Administrative Costs “Sticky”?," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(1), pages 47-63, March.
    2. Jay Heon Jung & Sonya S. Lim & Jinhan Pae & Choong-Yuel Yoo, 2017. "Do analysts who understand accounting conservatism exhibit better forecasting performance?," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(7-8), pages 953-985, July.
    3. Dan Amiram & Wayne R. Landsman & Edward L. Owens & Stephen R. Stubben, 2018. "How are analysts’ forecasts affected by high uncertainty?," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(3-4), pages 295-318, March.
    4. Abarbanell, Jeffery & Lehavy, Reuven, 2003. "Biased forecasts or biased earnings? The role of reported earnings in explaining apparent bias and over/underreaction in analysts' earnings forecasts," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(1-3), pages 105-146, December.
    5. Collins, Daniel W. & Kothari, S. P. & Rayburn, Judy Dawson, 1987. "Firm size and the information content of prices with respect to earnings," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 9(2), pages 111-138, July.
    6. Kathleen A. Bentley & Thomas C. Omer & Nathan Y. Sharp, 2013. "Business Strategy, Financial Reporting Irregularities, and Audit Effort," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 30(2), pages 780-817, June.
    7. Ramji Balakrishnan & Thomas S. Gruca, 2008. "Cost Stickiness and Core Competency: A Note," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 25(4), pages 993-1006, December.
    8. Clement, Michael B., 1999. "Analyst forecast accuracy: Do ability, resources, and portfolio complexity matter?," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 27(3), pages 285-303, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yang, Xiaohui & Chen, Wei, 2021. "The joint effects of macroeconomic uncertainty and cyclicality on management and analyst earnings forecasts," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    2. Tingyong Zhong & Fangcheng Sun & Haiyan Zhou & Jeoung Yul Lee, 2020. "Business Strategy, State-Owned Equity and Cost Stickiness: Evidence from Chinese Firms," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-21, March.
    3. Ho, Tuan & Nguyen, Yen & Parikh, Bhavik & Vo, Dinh-Tri, 2020. "Does foreign exchange risk matter to equity research analysts when forecasting stock prices? Evidence from U.S. firms," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    4. Namitha, Chakkappanthodiyil & Shijin, Santhakumar, 2016. "Managerial discretion and agency cost in Indian market," Advances in accounting, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 159-169.
    5. Jorgensen, Bjorn & Li, Jing & Sadka, Gil, 2012. "Earnings dispersion and aggregate stock returns," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(1), pages 1-20.
    6. Jon Kerr & Gil Sadka & Ronnie Sadka, 2020. "Illiquidity and Price Informativeness," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 66(1), pages 334-351, January.
    7. Beyer, Anne & Cohen, Daniel A. & Lys, Thomas Z. & Walther, Beverly R., 2010. "The financial reporting environment: Review of the recent literature," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(2-3), pages 296-343, December.
    8. Shanshan Pan & Michael Lacina & Haeyoung Shin, 2019. "Income Classification Shifting and Financial Analysts’ Forecasts," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(02), pages 1-48, June.
    9. Zachary Kaplan & Xiumin Martin & Yifang Xie, 2021. "Truncating Optimism," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 59(5), pages 1827-1884, December.
    10. Sinha, Rajesh Kumar, 2021. "Macro disagreement and analyst forecast properties," Journal of Contemporary Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 17(1).
    11. Chen, Xuanjuan & Yao, Tong & Yu, Tong & Zhang, Ting, 2014. "Learning and incentive: A study on analyst response to pension underfunding," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 26-42.
    12. Yu, Sijia & Zhang, Junrui & Qiu, Meng, 2020. "Political uncertainty and analysts’ forecasts: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    13. Zhaoyang Gu & Song Tang & Donghui Wu, 2020. "The Political Economy of Labor Employment Decisions: Evidence from China," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 66(10), pages 4703-4725, October.
    14. Amy P. Hutton & Lian Fen Lee & Susan Z. Shu, 2012. "Do Managers Always Know Better? The Relative Accuracy of Management and Analyst Forecasts," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 50(5), pages 1217-1244, December.
    15. Henock Louis & Amy X. Sun & Oktay Urcan, 2013. "Do Analysts Sacrifice Forecast Accuracy for Informativeness?," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 59(7), pages 1688-1708, July.
    16. Jia Li & Zhengying Luo, 2021. "Product market competition and cost stickiness: Evidence from China," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1808-1821, October.
    17. Michael E Bradbury & Tom Scott, 2018. "Do managers forecast asymmetric cost behaviour?," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 43(4), pages 538-554, November.
    18. Hakan Özkaya, 2021. "Sticky cost behavior: evidence from small and medium sized enterprises in Turkey," Eurasian Business Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 11(2), pages 349-369, June.
    19. Wu‐Lung Li & Kenneth Zheng, 2020. "Rollover risk and managerial cost adjustment decisions," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 60(3), pages 2843-2878, September.
    20. Xiaotao (Kelvin) Liu & Xiaoxia Liu & Colin D. Reid, 2019. "Stakeholder Orientations and Cost Management," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 36(1), pages 486-512, March.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bla:acctfi:v:62:y:2022:i:3:p:3951-3985. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/aaanzea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.