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A Microeconomic Analysis of the COVID-19 Distribution in Turkey

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  • Yigit Aydogan

    (Kırklareli University)

Abstract

Larger cities do not amplify the COVID-19 pandemic in Turkey. Reports from Turkish cities provide evidence that the Gibrat’s Law holds and the infection grows among population in proportion to the city sizes. Growth of the pandemic is not faster in larger cities. COVID-19 cases are lognormally distributed throughout the country. While the 0-19 age group of the society is associated with a negative impact on the reported cases, 40-59 group has the most additive effect. Distribution of the reported deaths from COVID-19 does not grow in proportion to the city size, and may well be approximated by both exponential and normal distributions.

Suggested Citation

  • Yigit Aydogan, 2020. "A Microeconomic Analysis of the COVID-19 Distribution in Turkey," Bingol University Journal of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Bingol University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 4(2), pages 11-25, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bgo:journl:v:4:y:2020:i:2:p:11-25repec/bgo/
    DOI: https://dx.doi.org/10.33399/biibfad.759410
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jennifer Beam Dowd & Liliana Andriano & David M. Brazel & Valentina Rotondi & Per Block & Xuejie Ding & Yan Liu & Melinda C. Mills, 2020. "Demographic science aids in understanding the spread and fatality rates of COVID-19," Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 117(18), pages 9696-9698, May.
    2. Bekiros, Stelios & Kouloumpou, Dimitra, 2020. "SBDiEM: A new mathematical model of infectious disease dynamics," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
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    Cited by:

    1. Christina Kakderi & Nicos Komninos & Anastasia Panori & Eleni Oikonomaki, 2021. "Next City: Learning from Cities during COVID-19 to Tackle Climate Change," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-21, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    COVID-19; Gibrat’s law; law of the proportionate effect; city size distribution;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
    • D39 - Microeconomics - - Distribution - - - Other
    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models
    • I19 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Other

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