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The Belt and Road turns five

Author

Listed:
  • Michael Baltensperger

    (Bruegel, Brussels, Belgium)

  • Uri Dadush

    (Policy Center for the New South, Rabat, Morocco
    Bruegel, Brussels, Belgium)

Abstract

China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is an international trade and development strategy. Launched in 2013, it is one of the ways that China asserts its role in world affairs and captures the opportunities of globalization. The BRI has the potential to enhance development prospects across the world and in China, but that potential might not be realized because the BRI’s objectives are too broad and ill-defined, and its execution is too often non-transparent, lacking in due diligence and uncoordinated. This article documents the background and context of the BRI, recounts what is known about the extent of the initiative and specifies its various motivations. It highlights that the initiative meets very large infrastructure investments gaps, which is welcome and needed, and that China’s goal of forging stronger links with its trading partners around the world are legitimate, so long, of course, as the underlying intent remains peaceful. Though many observers welcome the BRI, many others oppose it for good reasons, while others misunderstand it and oppose it for bad reasons. The paper identifies and discusses concerns about the initiative that relate to its geopolitical objectives, its priorities, its geographic scope, the role of state-owned enterprises, the allocation of resources, issues of transparency and of due diligence. Particularly, it shows that this initiative deals with a vast number of countries that are in very different states of development and that an apparent lack of well-defined priorities is holding the initiative back. The paper also highlights the issue of debt overload which is distressing several BRI countries and discourages further projects. It points briefly to possible improvements that China and the other stakeholders in the BRI can make to get the most out of their investments. The BRI, to be effective, needs to meet the basic conditions of a trade and development strategy, which are clear objectives, adequate resources, selectivity, a workable implementation plan, due diligence and clear communication. Involvement of multilateral lenders could help with this. Finally, China has to improve the evaluation of project’s risks and costs and step up its due diligence approach to demonstrate that it respects the long-term interests of those countries that are at the receiving end of its BRI projects.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael Baltensperger & Uri Dadush, 2019. "The Belt and Road turns five," Russian Journal of Economics, ARPHA Platform, vol. 5(2), pages 136-153, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:arh:jrujec:v:5:y:2019:i:2:p:136-153
    DOI: 10.32609/j.ruje.5.38704
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. World Bank, 2018. "Doing Business 2018," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 28608, December.
    2. World Bank, 2018. "World Development Report 2018 [Rapport sur le développement dans le monde 2018]," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 28340, December.
    3. Asian Development Bank Institute, 2017. "Meeting Asia's Infrastructure Needs," Working Papers id:11711, eSocialSciences.
    4. Reinhilde Veugelers, 2018. "Are European firms falling behind in the global corporate research race?," Policy Contributions 25100, Bruegel.
    5. World Bank, 2018. "The World Bank Annual Report 2018 [Informe Anual 2018 del Banco Mundial]," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 30326, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    Cited by:

    1. repec:thr:techub:10024:y:2021:i:1:p:594-614 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Tolga Demiryol, 2019. "Political Economy of Connectivity: China s Belt and Road Initiative," Proceedings of the 13th International RAIS Conference, June 10-11, 2019 019TG, Research Association for Interdisciplinary Studies.
    3. Chaminda Abeysinghe & Hashan Wijesinghe, 2021. "Sino-Indian Rivalry and the contemporary significance of the Indian Ocean as a zone of peace in the Asian Century," Technium Social Sciences Journal, Technium Science, vol. 24(1), pages 594-614, October.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    China; international trade; trade agreements; development; globalization.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F53 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - International Agreements and Observance; International Organizations
    • F63 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Economic Development
    • O24 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Trade Policy; Factor Movement; Foreign Exchange Policy
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes

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