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Climate Change and Agricultural Production in Pakistan

Author

Listed:
  • Muhammad Nouman Shafiq

    (PhD Scholar, School of Economics and Finance, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, Shaanxi Province, China)

  • Seemab Gillani

    (PhD Scholar, School of Economics and Finance, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, Shaanxi Province, China)

  • Shaiza Shafiq

    (M.Phil. Scholar, Department of Botany, The Islamia University of Bahawalpur, Pakistan)

Abstract

Agriculture sector holds great value for Pakistan. Climate change is a major determinant of agricultural productivity all over the world. This sector is the most vulnerable sector to weather change. The productivity of this sector is being affected by several factors of climate change like temperature and rainfall patterns. The core objective of the study is to determine the impact of climate change on agricultural production (wheat, rice, and sugarcane) in Pakistan. Time series data from 1985–2018 is taken from the Pakistan Economic Survey, Metrology department of Pakistan, and the World Bank for the current analysis. Autoregressive Distributed Lag model is used to analyze the impact of climate change on agricultural production in Pakistan. The results show that climate change has an influential impact on agricultural production in Pakistan. The increase in mean temperature reduces agricultural production while the rain positively affects agricultural production. It is suggested that the government should give subsidies on agrarian tools, seeds, and fertilizers.

Suggested Citation

  • Muhammad Nouman Shafiq & Seemab Gillani & Shaiza Shafiq, 2021. "Climate Change and Agricultural Production in Pakistan," iRASD Journal of Energy and Environment, International Research Alliance for Sustainable Development (iRASD), vol. 2(2), pages 47-54, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:ani:irdjee:v:2:y:2021:i:2:p:47-54
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.52131/jee.2021.0202.0016
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Mirza Nomman Ahmed & Michael Schmitz, 2011. "Economic assessment of the impact of climate change on the agriculture of Pakistan," Business and Economic Horizons (BEH), Prague Development Center, vol. 4(1), pages 1-12, January.
    2. Pervez Zamurrad Janjua & Ghulam Samad & Nazakat Ullah Khan, 2010. "Impact of Climate Change on Wheat Production: A Case Study of Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 49(4), pages 799-822.
    3. Ahmed, Mirza & Schmitz, Michael, 2011. "Economic assessment of the impact of climate change on the agriculture of Pakistan," Business and Economic Horizons (BEH), Prague Development Center (PRADEC), vol. 4(01), pages 1-12, January.
    4. Harry M. Kaiser & Susan J. Riha & Daniel S. Wilks & David G. Rossiter & Radha Sampath, 1993. "A Farm-Level Analysis of Economic and Agronomic Impacts of Gradual Climate Warming," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 75(2), pages 387-398.
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    Cited by:

    1. Fahmida Zahid & Uzma Hanif & Faiza Javed, 2022. "Climate Change and Food Security: Are Asian Economies Tracking Sustainable Development Goals?," iRASD Journal of Economics, International Research Alliance for Sustainable Development (iRASD), vol. 4(4), pages 561-582, December.
    2. Tural Yusifzada, 2024. "Evaluating the global impact of climate change on agricultural inflation: an innovative climate condition index approach," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(7), pages 18411-18438, July.

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