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An attempt to assess the scale of hidden unemployment in Polish agriculture in 2017

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  • Kołodziejczak, Włodzimierz

Abstract

Hidden employment in agriculture is one of the key outstanding problems in the Polish rural modernization process. The purpose of this paper is to estimate the extent of changes in the Polish market in a scenario where the share of agricultural employees in the total number of employees would be close to that recorded in European Union countries (5%). In the study period, the level of hidden unemployment in agriculture varies from one voivodeship to another. The level of agricultural employment and the amount of surplus workforce suggest that structural factors continue to have a strong impact. There are no realistic ways to reduce agricultural employment if the released workforce have no alternative non-agricultural job opportunities which are conveniently located and match their qualitative characteristics. However, the 5% level used in the simulation seems attainable within a ten to twenty-year time frame, mainly because of the persistent economic growth and a shortage of labor experienced in non-agricultural sectors. The creation of jobs and the alignment of qualitative (structural) characteristics between labor supply and demand must be a natural process resulting in a sustainable balance in the labor market which does not require to be artificially maintained with public funds.

Suggested Citation

  • Kołodziejczak, Włodzimierz, 2018. "An attempt to assess the scale of hidden unemployment in Polish agriculture in 2017," Journal of Agribusiness and Rural Development, University of Life Sciences, Poznan, Poland, vol. 50(4), April.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:pojard:355999
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.355999
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Tyrowicz, Joanna & van der Velde, Lucas, 2018. "Labor reallocation and demographics," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(1), pages 381-412.
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