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Taxes and US Oil Production: Evidence from California and the Windfall Profit Tax

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  • Nirupama L. Rao

Abstract

The recent boom in U.S. oil production has prompted debates on levying new taxes on oil. This paper uses new well-level production data and price variation from federal oil taxes and price controls to assess how taxes affected production. After-tax price elasticity estimates range between 0.295 (0.038) and 0.371 (0.025). Response along the shut-in margin is minimal. There is no evidence of spatial shifting of production to minimize tax liabilities. Taken together the results suggest that taxes reduced domestic production in the 1980s, and the response largely came from wells that continued to pump oil, but at a reduced rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Nirupama L. Rao, 2018. "Taxes and US Oil Production: Evidence from California and the Windfall Profit Tax," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 10(4), pages 268-301, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:aea:aejpol:v:10:y:2018:i:4:p:268-301
    Note: DOI: 10.1257/pol.20140483
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Daniel Raimi & Emily Grubert & Jake Higdon & Gilbert Metcalf & Sophie Pesek & Devyani Singh, 2023. "The Fiscal Implications of the US Transition Away from Fossil Fuels," Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 17(2), pages 295-315.
    2. Nálepová, Veronika & Lampart, Marek, 2024. "Impact of windfall tax on market dynamics: A Cournot oligopoly model with exogenous shocks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    3. Bergholt, Drago & Røisland, Øistein & Sveen, Tommy & Torvik, Ragnar, 2023. "Monetary policy when export revenues drop," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    4. Sun, Xiaohua & Ren, Junlin & Wang, Yun, 2022. "The impact of resource taxation on resource curse: Evidence from Chinese resource tax policy," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    5. Brown, Jason P. & Maniloff, Peter & Manning, Dale T., 2020. "Spatially variable taxation and resource extraction: The impact of state oil taxes on drilling in the US," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    6. De Vito, Antonio & Pancotto, Livia & Perdichizzi, Salvatore & Reghezza, Alessio, 2023. "Don’t go on holiday in August! Market reaction to an unexpected windfall tax on banks," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    7. Lassi Ahlvik & Jørgen Juel Andersen & Jonas Hveding Hamang & Torfinn Harding, 2022. "Quantifying supply-side climate policies," Working Papers No 01/2022, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    8. Abdul-Salam, Yakubu, 2024. "Examining the effect of the UK oil and gas windfall tax on the economics of new fields in the UKCS province," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • H25 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Business Taxes and Subsidies
    • H32 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - Firm
    • L71 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Primary Products and Construction - - - Mining, Extraction, and Refining: Hydrocarbon Fuels
    • L78 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Primary Products and Construction - - - Government Policy
    • Q35 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Hydrocarbon Resources
    • Q38 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Government Policy (includes OPEC Policy)

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