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Estimating Deterministic Trends in the Presence of Serially Correlated Errors

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  1. Tae‐Hwan Kim & Stephan Pfaffenzeller & Tony Rayner & Paul Newbold, 2003. "Testing for Linear Trend with Application to Relative Primary Commodity Prices," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(5), pages 539-551, September.
  2. Ivan D. Trofimov, 2017. "Capital Productivity In Industrialised Economies: Evidence From Error-Correction Model And Lagrange Multiplier Tests," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 62(215), pages 53-80, October –.
  3. Rodrigues, Paulo M. M. & Taylor, A. M. Robert, 2004. "Alternative estimators and unit root tests for seasonal autoregressive processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 120(1), pages 35-73, May.
  4. Badi Baltagi & Chihwa Kao & Sanggon Na, 2011. "Test of hypotheses in panel data models when the regressor and disturbances are possibly non-stationary," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 95(4), pages 329-350, December.
  5. Hervé Le Bihan, 2004. "Tests de rupture : une application au PIB tendanciel français," Economie & Prévision, La Documentation Française, vol. 163(2), pages 133-154.
  6. Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Mikusheva, Anna & Ng, Serena, 2012. "Estimators For Persistent And Possibly Nonstationary Data With Classical Properties," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 28(5), pages 1003-1036, October.
  7. Hansen, Bruce E., 2010. "Averaging estimators for autoregressions with a near unit root," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 158(1), pages 142-155, September.
  8. Gadea Rivas, María Dolores & Gonzalo, Jesús, 2020. "Trends in distributional characteristics: Existence of global warming," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 214(1), pages 153-174.
  9. Chambers, Marcus J. & Ercolani, Joanne S. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2014. "Testing for seasonal unit roots by frequency domain regression," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P2), pages 243-258.
  10. Kei-Ichiro Inaba, 2018. "Liquidity and Pricing of Credit Default Swaps in Japan: Evidence from a Benchmark Index for Corporate Debt Claims," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 54(1), pages 111-143, August.
  11. Elliott, Graham, 2020. "Testing for a trend with persistent errors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 219(2), pages 314-328.
  12. Mohitosh Kejriwal & Xuewen Yu, 2019. "Generalized Forecasr Averaging in Autoregressions with a Near Unit Root," Purdue University Economics Working Papers 1318, Purdue University, Department of Economics.
  13. McCulloch, J. Huston, 2016. "Moment Ratio estimation of autoregressive/unit root parameters and autocorrelation-consistent standard errors," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 712-733.
  14. Peter C. B. Phillips & Zhijie Xiao, 1998. "A Primer on Unit Root Testing," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 12(5), pages 423-470, December.
  15. Chihwa Kao & Jamie Emerson, 1998. "On the Estimation of a Linear Time Trend Regression with a One- Way Error Component Model in the Presence of Serially Correlated Errors," Econometrics 9805004, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  16. Roy, Anindya & Falk, Barry & Fuller, Wayne A., 1999. "Estimation of the Trend Model with Autoregressive Errors," ISU General Staff Papers 199907010700001328, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
  17. Bunzel, Helle, 2006. "FIXED-b ASYMPTOTICS IN SINGLE-EQUATION COINTEGRATION MODELS WITH ENDOGENOUS REGRESSORS," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(4), pages 743-755, August.
  18. Boswijk, H. Peter & Jansson, Michael & Nielsen, Morten Ørregaard, 2015. "Improved likelihood ratio tests for cointegration rank in the VAR model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 184(1), pages 97-110.
  19. Antonios Antypas & Phoebe Koundouri & Nikolaos Kourogenis, 2013. "Hotelling Rules: Oscillatory Versus Quadratic Trends in Natural Resource Prices," GRI Working Papers 126, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment.
  20. Moon, Hyungsik R. & Phillips, Peter C.B., 2000. "Estimation Of Autoregressive Roots Near Unity Using Panel Data," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 16(6), pages 927-997, December.
  21. Wang Shin-Huei & Hafner Christian, 2011. "Estimating Autocorrelations in the Presence of Deterministic Trends," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 3(2), pages 1-25, April.
  22. Pierre Perron & Mototsugu Shintani & Tomoyoshi Yabu, 2017. "Testing for Flexible Nonlinear Trends with an Integrated or Stationary Noise Component," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 79(5), pages 822-850, October.
  23. Kei-Ichiro Inaba, 2018. "Global Stock Return Comovements: Trends and Determinants," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 18-E-7, Bank of Japan.
  24. Diebold, Francis X & Kilian, Lutz, 2000. "Unit-Root Tests Are Useful for Selecting Forecasting Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 18(3), pages 265-273, July.
  25. Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2007. "A simple, robust and powerful test of the trend hypothesis," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 1302-1330, December.
  26. Vogelsang, Timothy J. & Franses, Philip Hans, 2005. "Testing for common deterministic trend slopes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 126(1), pages 1-24, May.
  27. Gabriel Rodriguez & Pierre Perron, 2013. "Single-equation tests for Cointegration with GLS Detrended Data," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 2013-016, Boston University - Department of Economics.
  28. D., Ivan, 2017. "Stability of the labour shares: evidence from OECD economies," MPRA Paper 79822, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  29. Badi H. Baltagi & Chihwa Kao & Long Liu, 2014. "Test of Hypotheses in a Time Trend Panel Data Model with Serially Correlated Error Component Disturbances," Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honor of Peter C. B. Phillips, volume 33, pages 347-394, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
  30. Pierre Perron & Eduardo Zorita & Timothy J. Vogelsang & Nasreen Nawaz, 2017. "Estimation and Inference of Linear Trend Slope Ratios With an Application to Global Temperature Data," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(5), pages 640-667, September.
  31. Xu, Ke-Li, 2012. "Robustifying multivariate trend tests to nonstationary volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 169(2), pages 147-154.
  32. Perron, Pierre & Yabu, Tomoyoshi, 2009. "Estimating deterministic trends with an integrated or stationary noise component," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 151(1), pages 56-69, July.
  33. Jiawen Xu & Pierre Perron, 2013. "Robust testing of time trend and mean with unknown integration order errors Frequency (and Other) Contaminations," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 2013-006, Boston University - Department of Economics.
  34. Hyungsik Roger Moon & Peter C. B. Phillips, 2004. "GMM Estimation of Autoregressive Roots Near Unity with Panel Data," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 72(2), pages 467-522, March.
  35. Ayat, Leila & Burridge, Peter, 2000. "Unit root tests in the presence of uncertainty about the non-stochastic trend," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 95(1), pages 71-96, March.
  36. Phoebe Koundouri & Nikolaos Kourogenis, 2016. "On the Use of Quadratic Trends in Natural Resource Prices' Modeling," DEOS Working Papers 1608, Athens University of Economics and Business.
  37. Ernst, Matthew & Rodecker, Jared & Luvaga, Ebby & Alexander, Terence & Kliebenstein, James & MIRANOWSKI, JOHN A, 1999. "The Viability of Methane Production by Anaerobic Digestion on Iowa Swine Farms," ISU General Staff Papers 199910010700001329, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
  38. Harvey David I & Leybourne Stephen J & Taylor A.M. Robert, 2006. "On Robust Trend Function Hypothesis Testing," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 1-27, March.
  39. Valentina Meliciani & Franco Peracchi, 2009. "Convergence in per-capita GDP across European regions: a reappraisal," Studies in Empirical Economics, in: Giuseppe Arbia & Badi H. Baltagi (ed.), Spatial Econometrics, pages 203-222, Springer.
  40. Neumark, David & Wascher, William, 1998. "Is the Time-Series Evidence on Minimum Wage Effects Contaminated by Publication Bias?," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 36(3), pages 458-470, July.
  41. Stock, James H. & Watson, Mark W., 1999. "Business cycle fluctuations in us macroeconomic time series," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & M. Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 1, pages 3-64, Elsevier.
  42. Zhije Xiao & Peter C.B. Phillips, 1998. "An ADF coefficient test for a unit root in ARMA models of unknown order with empirical applications to the US economy," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 1(RegularPa), pages 27-43.
  43. Jonathan Temple, 1999. "The New Growth Evidence," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 37(1), pages 112-156, March.
  44. Trofimov, Ivan D., 2017. "Capital productivity in industrialized economies: evidence from error-correction model and Lagrange Multiplier tests," MPRA Paper 81655, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  45. Xiao, Zhijie, 2004. "Estimating average economic growth in time series data with persistency," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 26(4), pages 699-724, December.
  46. Ivan D. Trofimov, 2017. "Profit rates in the developed capitalist economies: a time series investigation," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 70(281), pages 85-128.
  47. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:3:y:2006:i:14:p:1-12 is not listed on IDEAS
  48. Shimotsu, Katsumi & Phillips, Peter C.B., 2006. "Local Whittle estimation of fractional integration and some of its variants," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 130(2), pages 209-233, February.
  49. Mikael Linden, 2002. "Trend model testing of growth convergence in 15 OECD countries, 1946-1997," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(2), pages 133-142.
  50. Serena Ng & Timothy Vogelsang, 1999. "Forecasting Dynamic Time Series in the Presence of Deterministic Components," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 445, Boston College Department of Economics.
  51. Galip Altinay, 2003. "Estimating growth rate in the presence of serially correlated errors," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(15), pages 967-970.
  52. Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2009. "Warming break trends and fractional integration in the northern, southern and global temperature anomaly series," Faculty Working Papers 09/09, School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra.
  53. Yeonwoo Rho & Xiaofeng Shao, 2015. "Inference for Time Series Regression Models With Weakly Dependent and Heteroscedastic Errors," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(3), pages 444-457, July.
  54. Peter Phillips & Hyungsik Moon, 2000. "Nonstationary panel data analysis: an overview of some recent developments," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(3), pages 263-286.
  55. Ivan D. Trofimov, 2019. "Stability of Labour Shares: Evidence from OECD Economies," South-Eastern Europe Journal of Economics, Association of Economic Universities of South and Eastern Europe and the Black Sea Region, vol. 17(1), pages 57-89.
  56. Trofimov, Ivan D., 2017. "Profit rates in the developed capitalist economies: a time series investigation," MPRA Paper 79529, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  57. Ke-Li Xu & Jui-Chung Yang, 2015. "Towards Uniformly Efficient Trend Estimation Under Weak/Strong Correlation and Non-stationary Volatility," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 42(1), pages 63-86, March.
  58. Antonios Antypas & Phoebe Koundouri & Nikolaos Kourogenis, 2013. "Oscillatory Versus Quadratic Trends in Natural Resource Commodity Prices," DEOS Working Papers 1305, Athens University of Economics and Business.
  59. Busetti, Fabio & Harvey, Andrew, 2008. "Testing For Trend," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 24(1), pages 72-87, February.
  60. Obermaier, Robert, 2012. "German inventory to sales ratios 1971–2005—An empirical analysis of business practice," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(2), pages 964-976.
  61. Rui Qiang & Eric Ruggieri, 2023. "Autocorrelation and Parameter Estimation in a Bayesian Change Point Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-22, February.
  62. Vougas, Dimitrios V., 2007. "GLS detrending and unit root testing," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 97(3), pages 222-229, December.
  63. Xu, Ke-Li, 2016. "Multivariate trend function testing with mixed stationary and integrated disturbances," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 38-57.
  64. H. Peter Boswijk & Philip Hans Franses, 2002. "How Large is Average Economic Growth? Evidence from a Robust Method," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 02-002/4, Tinbergen Institute.
  65. Galip Altinay, 2004. "On measuring average growth rate," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(6), pages 637-644.
  66. Yoshimasa Uematsu, 2011. "Regression with a Slowly Varying Regressor in the Presence of a Unit Root," Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series gd11-209, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
  67. Falk, Barry & Roy, Anindya, 2005. "Forecasting using the trend model with autoregressive errors," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 291-302.
  68. Akihiko Ikeda, 2020. "Learning-by-doing and business cycles in emerging economies," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 156(3), pages 611-631, August.
  69. Helle Bunzel, 2004. "Fixed Bandwidth Asymptotics in Single Equation Models of Cointegration with an Application to Money Demand," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 219, Econometric Society.
  70. Dariusz Kusz & Bożena Kusz & Paweł Hydzik, 2022. "Changes in the Price of Food and Agricultural Raw Materials in Poland in the Context of the European Union Accession," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-21, April.
  71. Kei-Ichiro Inaba, 2020. "A global look into stock market comovements," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 156(3), pages 517-555, August.
  72. Mynbaev, Kairat, 2001. "The strengths and weaknesses of L2 approximable regressors," MPRA Paper 9056, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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