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Bank risk-taking and monetary policy transmission: Evidence from China

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  • Li, Xiaoming
  • Liu, Zheng
  • Peng, Yuchao
  • Xu, Zhiwei

Abstract

We study the impact of China's 2013 implementation of Basel III on bank risk-taking and its responses to monetary policy shocks using confidential loan-level data from a large Chinese bank. Guided by theory, we use a difference-in-difference identification, exploiting cross-sectional differences in lending behaviors between highrisk and low-risk bank branches before and after the new regulations. We find that, through a risk-weighting channel, changes in regulations significantly reduced bank risktaking, both on average and conditional on monetary policy easing. However, banks reduce risk-taking by increasing lending to ostensibly low-risk state-owned enterprises (SOEs) under government guarantees, despite their low average productivity.

Suggested Citation

  • Li, Xiaoming & Liu, Zheng & Peng, Yuchao & Xu, Zhiwei, 2021. "Bank risk-taking and monetary policy transmission: Evidence from China," BOFIT Discussion Papers 15/2021, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:bofitp:bdp2021_015
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    Cited by:

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    2. Kaiji Chen & Haoyu Gao & Patrick Higgins & Daniel F. Waggoner & Tao Zha, 2023. "Monetary Stimulus amidst the Infrastructure Investment Spree: Evidence from China's Loan‐Level Data," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 78(2), pages 1147-1204, April.
    3. Aubhik Khan & Soyoung Lee, 2023. "Persistent Debt and Business Cycles in an Economy with Production Heterogeneity," Staff Working Papers 23-17, Bank of Canada.
    4. Thiago Revil T. Ferreira & Daniel Ostry & John Rogers, 2023. "Firm Financial Conditions and the Transmission of Monetary Policy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2023-037, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    5. Lu, Dong & Tang, Huoqing & Zhang, Chengsi, 2023. "China's monetary policy surprises and corporate real investment," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    bank risk-taking; banking regulations; risk-weighting; monetary policy; difference-in-difference; China;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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