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El Paso Customs District Cross-Border Trade Flows

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Author Info

  • Thomas M Fullerton Jr

    (University of Texas at El Paso)

  • Richard L Sprinkle

    (University of Texas at El Paso)

  • Roberto Tinajero

Abstract

An important issue in applied international economics is the extent to which trade flows adjust to changes in economic activity, relative prices, and exchange rates. While there have been numerous studies regarding aggregate trade flows, relatively little empirical work has been completed with respect to analyzing international merchandise trade growth throught the United States - Mexico border region. To examine whether border trade flows can be successfully modeled, short-term time series characteristics of cross-border trade flows through El Paso, Texas are analyzed. A transfer function ARIMA econometric methodology is employed using data from January 1995 to December 2002. Results indicate that economic activity in the United States and Mexico, along with relative prices adjusted for exchange rates play important roles in determining monthly fluctuations in border area trade flows.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by EconWPA in its series International Trade with number 0406001.

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Length: 8 pages
Date of creation: 01 Jun 2004
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpit:0406001

Note: Type of Document - doc; pages: 8
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Web page: http://128.118.178.162

Related research

Keywords: Merchandise Trade Flows; Transfer ARIMA; Border Region;

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References

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  1. Demirden, Tuvana & Pastine, Ivan, 1995. "Flexible exchange rates and the J-curve: An alternative approach," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(3-4), pages 373-377, June.
  2. Thomas Fullerton & W. Sawyer & Richard Sprinkle, 1999. "Latin American trade elasticities," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer, vol. 23(2), pages 143-156, June.
  3. Thomas M Fullerton Jr & W Charles Sawyer & Richard L Sprinkle, 2004. "Functional Form for United States - Mexico Trade Equations," International Trade 0408001, EconWPA.
  4. Thomas M Fullerton Jr, 2004. "Currency Movements and International Border Crossings," Urban/Regional 0407008, EconWPA.
  5. Granger, C. W. J. & Newbold, P., 1974. "Spurious regressions in econometrics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 2(2), pages 111-120, July.
  6. Roy J. Ruffin, 1999. "The nature and significance of intra-industry trade," Economic and Financial Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q IV, pages 2-9.
  7. Pierce, David A. & Haugh, Larry D., 1977. "Causality in temporal systems : Characterization and a survey," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 5(3), pages 265-293, May.
  8. Thomas M Fullerton Jr & Roberto Tinajero, 2004. "Cross Border Cargo Vehicle Flows," International Trade 0405006, EconWPA.
  9. Thomas M Fullerton Jr, 2004. "Cross Border Business Cycle (Impacts on Commercial Electricity Demand," Urban/Regional 0407010, EconWPA.
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