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Economic Growth in Egypt: Constraints and Determinants

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Author Info
Anton Dobronogov (World Bank)
Farrukh Iqbal (World Bank)

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Abstract

Egypt accelerated its ongoing transition from a public sector dominated economy to a private sector led and market oriented economy after the collapse of oil prices in the mid-1980s. Some aspects of the economy, such as trade policy, have been substantially transformed since then whereas other aspects, such as public control of the financial sector, have experienced less change in substance. We examine some determinants of growth in Egypt since the mid-1980s using insights from both standard econometric techniques and a diagnostic approach proposed by Hausmann, Rodrik and Velasco (2004). We find that trends in government consumption, credit to the private sector and the average growth rate of OECD countries have been significant determinants of growth in Egypt in the past. We also present evidence that suggests that inefficiency of financial intermediation is a significant current constraint on growth.

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File URL: http://129.3.20.41/eps/dev/papers/0512/0512024.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by EconWPA in its series Development and Comp Systems with number 0512024.

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Length: 36 pages
Date of creation: 26 Dec 2005
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Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpdc:0512024

Note: Type of Document - pdf; pages: 36
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Web page: http://129.3.20.41

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Related research
Keywords: Economic growth; Egypt; growth diagnostic; binding constraint; financial intermediation;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
O - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth
P - Economic Systems

This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

Cited by:
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  1. Klaus-Stefan Enders, 2007. "Egypt--Searching for Binding Constraints on Growth," IMF Working Papers 07/57, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  2. Juliane Brach, 2008. "Constraints to Economic Development and Growth in the Middle East and North Africa," GIGA Working Paper Series 85, GIGA German Institute of Global and Area Studies. [Downloadable!]
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