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Comparing distributions by multiple testing across quantiles or CDF values

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Abstract

When comparing two distributions, it is often helpful to learn at which quantiles or values there is a statistically significant difference. This provides more information than the binary "reject" or "do not reject" decision of a global goodness-of-fit test. Framing our question as multiple testing across the continuum of quantiles tau in (0,1) or values r, we show that the Kolmogorov–Smirnov test (interpreted as a multiple testing procedure) achieves strong control of the familywise error rate. However, its well-known flaw of low sensitivity in the tails remains. We provide an alternative method that retains such strong control of familywise error rate while also having even sensitivity, i.e., equal pointwise type I error rates at each of n (going to infinity) order statistics across the distribution. Our one-sample method computes instantly, using our new formula that also instantly computes goodness-of-fit p-values and uniform confidence bands. To improve power, we also propose stepdown and pre-test procedures that maintain control of the asymptotic familywise error rate. One-sample and two-sample cases are considered, as well as extensions to regression discontinuity designs and conditional distributions. Simulations, empirical examples, and code are provided.

Suggested Citation

  • David M. Kaplan & Matt Goldman, 2018. "Comparing distributions by multiple testing across quantiles or CDF values," Working Papers 1801, Department of Economics, University of Missouri.
  • Handle: RePEc:umc:wpaper:1801
    Note: Title change on 2018-02-22
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    2. Matt Goldman & David M. Kaplan, 2018. "Non‐parametric inference on (conditional) quantile differences and interquantile ranges, using L‐statistics," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 21(2), pages 136-169, June.
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    2. Blemings, Benjamin T. & Bock, Margaret & Scarcioffolo, Alexandre, 2022. "Hoggin' the Road: Negative Road Externalities of Pork Slaughterhouses," 2022 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Anaheim, California 322466, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    3. Victor Gay, 2023. "Culture: An Empirical Investigation of Beliefs, Work, and Fertility. A Verification and Reproduction of Fernández and Fogli (2009)," Post-Print hal-04194417, HAL.
    4. John Mullahy, 2020. "Discovering Treatment Effectiveness via Median Treatment Effects—Applications to COVID-19 Clinical Trials," NBER Working Papers 27895, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Xavier Cirera & Diego A. Comin & Marcio Cruz & Kyung Min Lee, 2020. "Anatomy of Technology in the Firm," NBER Working Papers 28080, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Chung, EunYi & Olivares, Mauricio, 2021. "Permutation test for heterogeneous treatment effects with a nuisance parameter," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 225(2), pages 148-174.
    7. Gedikli, Cigdem & Popli, Gurleen & Yilmaz, Okan, 2023. "The impact of intimate partner violence on women’s labour market outcomes," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    8. Matt Goldman & David M. Kaplan, 2018. "Non‐parametric inference on (conditional) quantile differences and interquantile ranges, using L‐statistics," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 21(2), pages 136-169, June.
    9. Dennis Wesselbaum, 2023. "Understanding the Drivers of the Gender Productivity Gap in the Economics Profession," The American Economist, Sage Publications, vol. 68(1), pages 61-73, March.
    10. David M. Kaplan & Longhao Zhuo, 2015. "Bayesian and frequentist inequality tests," Working Papers 1516, Department of Economics, University of Missouri, revised Feb 2018.
    11. Millemaci, Emanuele & Monteforte, Fabio & Temple, Jonathan R. W., 2023. "Have autocrats governed for the long term?," SocArXiv w8khb, Center for Open Science.
    12. Anastasios Evgenidis & Apostolos Fasianos, 2021. "Unconventional Monetary Policy and Wealth Inequalities in Great Britain," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 83(1), pages 115-175, February.
    13. Heyman, Fredrik & Norbäck, Pehr-Johan & Persson, Lars, 2017. "Talent, Career Choice and Competition: The Gender Wage Gap at the Top," Working Paper Series 1169, Research Institute of Industrial Economics, revised 06 Mar 2023.
    14. Bloem, Jeffrey R. & Liverpool-Tasie, Saweda & Adjognon, Serge G. & Dillon, Andrew, 2022. "Private Sector Promotion of Climate-Smart Technologies: Experimental Evidence from Nigeria," 2022 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Anaheim, California 322152, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    15. David M. Kaplan & Matt Goldman, 2015. "Nonparametric inference on conditional quantile differences and linear combinations, using L-statistics," Working Papers 1503, Department of Economics, University of Missouri.
    16. Cirera,Xavier & Comin,Diego Adolfo & Vargas Da Cruz,Marcio Jose & Lee,Kyungmin, 2020. "Technology Within and Across Firms," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9476, The World Bank.
    17. Goldman, Matt & Kaplan, David M., 2017. "Fractional order statistic approximation for nonparametric conditional quantile inference," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 196(2), pages 331-346.
    18. Wang, Duoyu & Cleary, Rebecca, 2023. "What contributes to the gap in nutritional quality across food security status?," 2023 Annual Meeting, July 23-25, Washington D.C. 335552, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    19. Huang, Wei & Li, Teng & Pan, Yinghao & Ren, Jinyang, 2023. "Teacher characteristics and student performance: Evidence from random teacher-student assignments in China," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 214(C), pages 747-781.
    20. Klenio Barbosa & Dakshina De Silva & Liyu Yang & Hisayuki Yoshimoto, 2020. "Bond Losses and Systemic Risk," Working Papers 288072615, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
    21. David M. Kaplan, 2020. "Inference on Consensus Ranking of Distributions," Working Papers 2010, Department of Economics, University of Missouri.
    22. Martin DeLuca & Roberto Pinheiro, 2023. "US Labor Market after COVID-19: An Interim Report," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2023(04), pages 1-7, February.
    23. John Mullahy, 2021. "Discovering treatment effectiveness via median treatment effects—Applications to COVID‐19 clinical trials," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(5), pages 1050-1069, May.
    24. Gay, Victor, 2023. "Culture: An Empirical Investigation of Beliefs, Work, and Fertility. A Verification and Reproduction of Fernández and Fogli (American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2009)," Journal of Comments and Replications in Economics (JCRE), ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 2(2023-2), pages 1-15.
    25. Ciarreta, Aitor & Martinez, Blanca & Nasirov, Shahriyar, 2023. "Forecasting electricity prices using bid data," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1253-1271.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Dirichlet; familywise error rate; Kolmogorov–Smirnov; probability integral transform; stepdown;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models

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