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Market Efficiency of Oil Spot and Futures: A Stochastic Dominance Approach

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  • Hooi Hooi Lean

    (School of Social Sciences, Universiti Sains Malaysia)

  • Michael McAleer

    (Erasmus School of Economics, Erasmus University Rotterdam and Tinbergen Institute)

  • Wing-Keung Wong

    (Department of Economics, Hong Kong Baptist University)

Abstract

This paper examines the market efficiency of oil spot and futures prices by using a stochastic dominance (SD) approach. As there is no evidence of an SD relationship between oil spot and futures, we conclude that there is no arbitrage opportunity between these two markets, and that both market efficiency and market rationality are not rejected in the oil spot and futures markets.

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File URL: http://www.cirje.e.u-tokyo.ac.jp/research/dp/2010/2010cf705.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo in its series CIRJE F-Series with number CIRJE-F-705.

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Length: 32pages
Date of creation: Jan 2010
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:tky:fseres:2010cf705

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Cited by:
  1. Broll, Udo & Wong, Wing-Keung & Wu, Mojia, 2013. "Banking Firm and Two-Moment Decision Making," MPRA Paper 51687, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  2. Guorui Bian & Michael McAleer & Wing-Keung Wong, 2013. "Robust Estimation and Forecasting of the Capital Asset Pricing Model," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-036/III, Tinbergen Institute.
  3. Hooi Hooi Lean & Michael McAleer & Wing-Keung Wong, 2013. "Risk-averse and Risk-seeking Investor Preferences for Oil Spot and Futures," Working Papers in Economics 13/30, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.

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