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Contrasts Between Classes of Assets in Fixed Investment Equations as a Way of Testing Real Option Theory

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Author Info
Ciaran Driver (Tanaka Business School, Imperial College, London)
Paul Temple (University of Surrey)
Giovanni Urga (Cass Business School, London)

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Abstract

This paper tests the power of real options theory to explain investment under uncertainty, exploiting differences in the degree of irreversibility between machinery and buildings. It reports estimates of investment equations for each asset class using a large sample of UK manufacturing industries, with results that are consistent with the predictions of real options theory. Additionally, using a specially constructed industryspecific measure of irreversibility for machinery investment, the paper provides further confirmation of the empirical relevance of real options.

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File URL: http://www.econ.surrey.ac.uk/discussion_papers/2005/DP08-05.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Department of Economics, University of Surrey in its series Department of Economics Discussion Papers with number 0805.

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Length: 35 pages
Date of creation: May 2005
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:sur:surrec:0805

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Related research
Keywords: Investment; Irreversibility; Real Options; Uncertainty; Panel Data;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Capital; Investment; Capacity
C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data

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  2. Kessides, Ioannis N, 1990. "Market Concentration, Contestability, and Sunk Costs," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 72(4), pages 614-22, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Breusch, T S & Pagan, A R, 1980. "The Lagrange Multiplier Test and Its Applications to Model Specification in Econometrics," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(1), pages 239-53, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Andrew B. Abel & Avinash K. Dixit & Janice B. Eberly & Robert S. Pindyck, . "Options, the Value of Capital, and Investment," Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research Working Papers 15-95, Wharton School Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research.
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  6. Hulten, Charles R. & Wykoff, Frank C., 1981. "The estimation of economic depreciation using vintage asset prices : An application of the Box-Cox power transformation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 15(3), pages 367-396, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Chatelain, Jean-Bernard & Teurlai, Jean-Christophe, 2001. "Pitfalls in investment Euler equations," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 159-179, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  10. Ghosal, V., 2001. "The Impact of Uncertainty and Sunk Costs on Firm Dynamics and Industry Structure: Evidence from the U.S. Manufacturing Sector," Papers 01-1, U.S. Department of Justice - Antitrust Division.
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  13. Driver, Ciaran & Meade, Nigel, 2001. "Persistence of Capacity Shortage and the Role of Adjustment Costs," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 48(1), pages 27-47, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  14. Victor R. Fuchs & Alan B. Krueger & James M. Poterba, 1998. "Economists' Views about Parameters, Values, and Policies: Survey Results in Labor and Public Economics," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 36(3), pages 1387-1425, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  15. Smith, Jeremy & McAleer, Michael, 1995. "Alternative Procedures for Converting Qualitative Response Data to Quantitative Expectations: An Application to Australian Manufacturing," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 10(2), pages 165-85, April-Jun. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  16. Peter M. Garber & Robert G. King, 1983. "Deep Structral Excavation? A Critique of Euler Equation Methods," NBER Technical Working Papers 0031, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  17. Valerie A. Ramey & Matthew D. Shapiro, 2001. "Displaced Capital: A Study of Aerospace Plant Closings," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 109(5), pages 958-992, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  19. Worthington, Paula R, 1995. "Investment, Cash Flow, and Sunk Costs," Journal of Industrial Economics, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 43(1), pages 49-61, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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