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Climate change and climate uncertainty in the Murray-Darling Basin

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  • David Adamson

    ()
    (Risk and Sustainable Management Group, University of Queensland)

  • Thilak Mallawaarachchi

    ()
    (Risk and Sustainable Management Group, University of Queensland)

  • John Quiggin

    ()
    (Risk & Sustainable Management Group, School of Economics, University of Queensland)

Abstract

It is likely that climate change will be associated with reductions in inflows of water to the Murray–Darling Basin In this paper, we analyse the effects of climate change in the Murray–Darling Basin, using a simulation model that incorporates a state-contingent representation of uncertainty. The severity of the impact depends, in large measure, on the extent to which climate change is manifested as an increase in the frequency of drought conditions. Adaptation will partially offset the adverse impact of climate change.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Risk and Sustainable Management Group, University of Queensland in its series Murray-Darling Program Working Papers with number WP2M07.

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Date of creation: Feb 2007
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Handle: RePEc:rsm:murray:m07_2

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Keywords: climate change; Murray-Darling Basin; uncertainty; water;

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  1. Adamson, David & Quiggin, John C. & Mallawaarachchi, Thilak, 2005. "Modelling basin level allocation of water in the Murray Darling Basin in a world of Uncertainty," 2005 Conference (49th), February 9-11, 2005, Coff's Harbour, Australia 137740, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
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Cited by:
  1. Quiggin, John, 2008. "Uncertainty and climate change policy," Risk and Sustainable Management Group Working Papers 152092, University of Queensland, School of Economics.
  2. Hughes, Neal, 2009. "Management of irrigation water storages: carryover rights and capacity sharing," 2009 Conference (53rd), February 11-13, 2009, Cairns, Australia 47642, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.

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