The Impossible Trinity and Capital Flows in East Asia
AbstractWhile the initial certainty and stark simplicity of the Impossible Trinity have fuzzed and softened over time, this idea still holds a powerful sway over analysis of exchange rates and in the policy debate on capital flows. Yet the practical evidence suggests that the constraints on policy implicit in this doctrine are greatly exaggerated. This disconnect between the analysis and the practical world seems a major limitation on developing suitable policies for addressing the very real problems which large volatile capital flows are causing emerging countries. The Impossible Trinity argument has been an unhelpful element in developing an effective policy framework to address these foreign capital inflows.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Asian Development Bank Institute in its series ADBI Working Papers with number 319.
Length: 23 pages
Date of creation: 06 Nov 2011
Date of revision:
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More information through EDIRC
impossible trinity; exchange rates; capital flows; emerging economies;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
- F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
- F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2011-11-14 (All new papers)
- NEP-DEV-2011-11-14 (Development)
- NEP-OPM-2011-11-14 (Open Economy Macroeconomic)
- NEP-SEA-2011-11-14 (South East Asia)
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Charles Engel, 1996.
"The Forward Discount Anomaly and the Risk Premium: A Survey of Recent Evidence,"
NBER Working Papers
5312, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Engel, Charles, 1996. "The forward discount anomaly and the risk premium: A survey of recent evidence," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 3(2), pages 123-192, June.
- Michele Cavallo, 2006. "Interest rates, carry trades, and exchange rate movements," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Nov 17.
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