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The Relationship between Consumer Price and Producer Price Indices in Turkey

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  • Ülke, Volkan
  • Ergun, Ugur

Abstract

In this study we analyze the relationship between the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Producer Price Index (PPI) in Turkey. We test long run, short run and causality relationship of these series. Johansen’s cointegration tests present a long run relationship between these series. Vector error correction (VEC) model specification suggests these series move together. There is a unidirectional long run causality from CPI to PPI. On the other hand VEC Granger causality test indicates no causality in short run. Thus our results suggest demand pull inflation in long run.

Suggested Citation

  • Ülke, Volkan & Ergun, Ugur, 2013. "The Relationship between Consumer Price and Producer Price Indices in Turkey," MPRA Paper 59437, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:59437
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Khalid KHAN & Chi-Wei SU & Nicoleta - Claudia MOLDOVAN & De-Ping XIONG, 2017. "Distinctive Characteristics of the Causality between the PPI and CPI: Evidence from Romania," ECONOMIC COMPUTATION AND ECONOMIC CYBERNETICS STUDIES AND RESEARCH, Faculty of Economic Cybernetics, Statistics and Informatics, vol. 51(2), pages 103-123.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Cointegration; Vector error correction model and Price indices;

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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