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Determinants of Bilateral Immigration Flows Between The European Union and some Mediterranean Partner Countries: Algeria, Egypt, Morocco, Tunisia and Turkey

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de Arce, Rafael
Mahia, Ramon

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Abstract

In this paper one survey of econometrics modelling about migration flows determinants is carried out, with an extensive critical review of variables and methods used in recent literature. After it, a rigorous model to forecast migrations flows from Morocco, Algeria, Tunisia, Egypt and Turkey to EU is developed. The weight of network effects and potential migration in origin countries is pointed out and 15 years of forecast horizon is drawn.

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File URL: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/14547/
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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 14547.

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Date of creation: Jul 2008
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:14547

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Related research
Keywords: migration determinants; migration econometric models; migration flows; EU-MPC migration;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration
C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data

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  3. Cobb-Clark, Deborah A., 1998. "Incorporating U.S. Policy into a Model of the Immigration Decision," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 20(5), pages 621-630, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Karemera, David & Oguledo, Victor Iwuagwu & Davis, Bobby, 2000. "A Gravity Model Analysis of International Migration to North America," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 32(13), pages 1745-55, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. James Mitchell & Nigel Pain, 2003. "The Determinants of International Migration into the UK: A Panel Based Modelling Approach," NIESR Discussion Papers 216, National Institute of Economic and Social Research. [Downloadable!]
  7. Faini, Riccardo & Venturini, Alessandra, 1994. "Migration and Growth: The Experience of Southern Europe," CEPR Discussion Papers 964, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  10. Swamy, P A V B & Arora, S S, 1972. "The Exact Finite Sample Properties of the Estimators of Coefficients in the Error Components Regression Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 40(2), pages 261-75, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. Stark, Oded & Bloom, David E, 1985. "The New Economics of Labor Migration," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 75(2), pages 173-78, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Herbert Brücker & Boriss Siliverstovs, 2005. "On the Estimation and Forecasting of International Migration: How Relevant Is Heterogeneity Across Countries?," IZA Discussion Papers 1710, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
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  13. Ghatak, Subrata & Levine, Paul & Price, Stephen Wheatley, 1996. " Migration Theories and Evidence: An Assessment," Journal of Economic Surveys, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 10(2), pages 159-98, June.
  14. Thomas Bauer & Klaus F. Zimmermann, 1999. "Assessment of Possible Migration Pressure and its Labour Market Impact Following EU Enlargement to Central and Eastern Europe," IZA Research Reports 3, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
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