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An evaluation of forecasting using leading indicators

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Author Info
Rebecca A Emerson
David Hendry

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File URL: http://www.nuff.ox.ac.uk/economics_wp/w5/crili.zip
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Paper provided by Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford in its series Economics Papers with number 5..

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Date of creation: Dec 1994
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Handle: RePEc:nuf:econwp:0005

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Web page: http://www.nuff.ox.ac.uk/economics/

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Campbell, John Y & Mankiw, N Gregory, 1987. "Are Output Fluctuations Transitory?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 102(4), pages 857-80, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Gregory C. Chow & Geoffrey H. Moore & An-loh Lin, 1972. "An Econometric Model Of Business Cycles," NBER Chapters, in: Econometric Models of Cyclical Behavior, Vols. 1 and 2, pages 739-812 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!]
  3. Clements, M.P. & Hendry, D.F., 1992. "Forecasting in Cointegrated Systems," Economics Series Working Papers 99139, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
  4. Diebold, Francis X & Rudebusch, Glenn D, 1989. "Scoring the Leading Indicators," Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 62(3), pages 369-91, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Auerbach, Alan J, 1982. "The Index of Leading Indicators: "Measurement without Theory," Thirty-Five Years Later," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 64(4), pages 589-95, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Clements, Michael P & Hendry, David F, 1996. "Intercept Corrections and Structural Change," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 11(5), pages 475-94, Sept.-Oct. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Alain Hecq, 2005. "Should we really care about building business cycle coincident indexes!," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 12(3), pages 141-144, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. H. Krolzig, . "Statistical Analysis of Cointegrated VAR Processes with Markovian Regime Shifts," Sonderforschungsbereich 373 1996-25, Humboldt Universitaet Berlin.
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  3. Annabelle Mourougane & Moreno Roma, 2002. "Can confidence indicators be useful to predict short term real GDP growth?," Working Paper Series 133, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Peaucelle, Irina, 1996. "Prévisions de court terme pour analyser les réformes en Russie (les)," CEPREMAP Working Papers (Couverture Orange) 9610, CEPREMAP. [Downloadable!]
  5. David Hendry & Michael P. Clements, 2001. "Economic Forecasting: Some Lessons from Recent Research," Economics Papers 2002-W11, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  6. Andrea Carriero & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2007. "Monitoring the Economy of the Euro Area: A Comparison of Composite Coincident Indexes," Working Papers 319, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University. [Downloadable!]
  7. Cubadda, Gianluca & Hecq, Alain, 2003. "The Role of Common Cyclical Features for Coincident and Leading Indexes Building," Economics & Statistics Discussion Papers esdp03002, University of Molise, Dept. SEGeS. [Downloadable!]
  8. Cubadda, Gianluca, 2004. "A Reduced Rank Regression Approach to Coincident and Leading Indexes Building," Economics & Statistics Discussion Papers esdp04022, University of Molise, Dept. SEGeS. [Downloadable!]
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  9. Maria Antoinette Silgoner, 2005. "An Overview of European Economic Indicators: Great Variety of Data on the Euro Area, Need for More Extensive Coverage of the New EU Member States," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 3, pages 66-89, November. [Downloadable!]
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