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Area Based Models of New Highway Route Growth

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Author Info
David Levinson () (Nexus (Networks, Economics, and Urban Systems) Research Group, Department of Civil Engineering, University of Minnesota)
Wei Chen

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Abstract

Empirical data and statistical models are used to answer the question of where new highway routes are most likely to be located. High-quality land-use, population distribution and highway network GIS data for the Twin CitiesMetropolitan Area from 1958 to 1990 are developed for this study. The highway system is classified into three levels, Interstate highways, divided highways, andsecondary highways. Binary logit models estimate the new route growth probability of divided highways and secondary highways. Interstates, however,are not modeled here and are used as a predictor in modeling the growth of divided highways and secondary highways. The results show that the area's land-use attributes and population density level do have significant relationship with the area's likelihood of adding new highway routes.

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File URL: http://nexus.umn.edu/Papers/AreaBasedNetworkGrowth.pdf
File Format: application/pdf
File Function: First version, 2007
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University of Minnesota: Nexus Research Group in its series Working Papers with number 200708.

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Date of creation: 2007
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Publication status: Forthcoming in ASCE Journal of Urban Planning and Development
Handle: RePEc:nex:wpaper:areabasednetworkgrowth

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Postal: Dept. of Civil Engineering, 500 Pillsbury Drive SE, Minneapolis, MN 55455
Phone: +01 (612) 625-6354
Fax: +01 (612) 626-7750
Web page: http://nexus.umn.edu
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Related research
Keywords: network growth; hierarchy of roads; land-use; population; GIS.;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
R41 - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics - - Transportation Systems - - - Transportation: Demand, Supply, and Congestion
R42 - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics - - Transportation Systems - - - Government and Private Investment Analysis
R48 - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics - - Transportation Systems - - - Government Pricing; Regulatory Policies
O33 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Technological Change - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. David Levinson & Ramachandra Karamalaputi, 2003. "Induced Supply: A Model of Highway Network Expansion at the Microscopic Level," Working Papers 200304, University of Minnesota: Nexus Research Group. [Downloadable!]
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Michael Iacono & David Levinson, 2008. "Predicting Land Use Change: How Much Does Transportation Matter?," Working Papers 000045, University of Minnesota: Nexus Research Group. [Downloadable!]
  2. David Levinson & Wei Chen, 2004. "Paving New Ground," Working Papers 200509, University of Minnesota: Nexus Research Group. [Downloadable!]
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