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Can Capital Mobility be Destabilizing?

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Author Info
Qinglai Meng
Andres Velasco
Abstract

In a standard two-sector neoclassical model with distortions, capital mobility can render the steady state indeterminate, in the sense that there exist infinitely many convergent paths. In the closed economy with no international capital mobility, the utility function must be linear or close to it for indeterminacy to occur, while in the open economy the shape of the utility function makes no difference. The reason is that in the no mobility case changes in aggregate investment must be matched by changes in aggregate consumption, while in the case of full capital mobility they can simply be financed by borrowing abroad. The paper provides some theoretical underpinnings to the concerns that de-regulating the capital account may be destabilizing.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 7263.

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Date of creation: Jul 1999
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:7263

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F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance

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  1. Benhabib, Jess & Nishimura, Kazuo, 1998. "Indeterminacy and Sunspots with Constant Returns," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 81(1), pages 58-96, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Giovanni Dell'Ariccia & Enrica Detragiache & Michael Mussa & Barry J. Eichengreen, 1998. "Capital Account Liberalization: Theoretical and Practical Aspects," IMF Occasional Papers 172, International Monetary Fund.
  3. Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe & Martin Uribe, 1995. "Balanced-budget rules, distortionary taxes, and aggregate instability," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 95-44, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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  4. Brock, Philip L & Turnovsky, Stephen J, 1994. "The Dependent-Economy Model with Both Traded and Nontraded Capital Goods," Review of International Economics, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 2(3), pages 306-25, October.
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  5. Burnside, A Craig & Eichenbaum, Martin & Rebelo, Sérgio, 1995. "Capital Utilization and Returns to Scale," CEPR Discussion Papers 1221, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Fischer, S. & Cooper, R.N. & Dornbusch, R. & Garber, P.M. & Massad, C. & Polak, J.J. & Rodrik, D. & Tarapore, S.S., 1998. "Should the IMF Pursue Capital-Account Convertibility?," Princeton Essays in International Economics 207, International Economics Section, Departement of Economics Princeton University,.
  7. Basu, S.: Fernald, J.G., 1993. "Constant Returns and Small Markups in U.S. Manufacturing," Papers 93-19, Michigan - Center for Research on Economic & Social Theory.
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  8. M. Weder, . "Indeterminacy in the Small Open Economy Ramsey Growth Model," Sonderforschungsbereich 373 1999-30, Humboldt Universitaet Berlin.
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  1. Assaf Razin & Efraim Sadka & Tarek Coury, 2002. "Trade Openness and Investment Instability," NBER Working Papers 8827, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Assaf Razin & Efraim Sadka & Tarek Coury, 2002. "Trade Openness, Investment Instability and Terms-of-Trade Volatility," NBER Working Papers 9332, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. Philippe Martin & Helene Rey, 2002. "Financial Globalization and Emerging Markets: With or Without Crash?," NBER Working Papers 9288, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  4. Guillermo J. Vuletin, 2004. "Exchange Rate Regimes And Fiscal Performance. Do Fixed Exchange Rate Regimes Generate More Discipline Than Flexible Ones?," Econometric Society 2004 North American Winter Meetings 474, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
  5. Yochanan Shachmurove, 2004. "Economic Development in the Middle East," PIER Working Paper Archive 04-022, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania. [Downloadable!]
  6. Kam-hon CHU & Bob Y. C. Chan & Chor-yiu Sin, 2000. "Contagion Effects, Informational Effects, and Economic Fundamentals: An Analysis of Exchange Rate Dynamics during the Asian Currency Crisis," Working Papers 022000, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research. [Downloadable!]
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