In this paper, we link industry-level data on offshoring activities of U.S. multinational firms, import penetration, and export shares with individual level worker data from the Current Population Surveys. We examine whether increasing globalization through offshoring or trade has led to reallocation of labor, both within and out of manufacturing, and measure its impact on the wages of domestic workers. We also control for the “routineness” of individual occupations. Our results suggest that (1) offshoring to high wage countries is positively correlated with U.S. manufacturing employment (2) offshoring to low wage countries is associated with U.S. employment declines (3) wages for workers who remain in manufacturing are generally positively affected by offshoring; in particular, we find that wages are positively associated with an increase in U.S. multinational employment in high income locations (4) much of the negative effects of globalization operate through downward pressure on wages of workers who leave manufacturing to take jobs in agriculture or services and (5) the downward pressure on aggregate U.S. wages operating through import competition has been quite important for some occupations. This effect has been overlooked because it operates across, not within, industries.
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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number
15107.
Length: Date of creation: Jun 2009 Date of revision: Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:15107
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Find related papers by JEL classification: F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration F16 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Labor Market Interactions F23 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Multinational Firms; International Business J23 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Demand
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