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Long-Run Cash-Flow and Discount-Rate Risks in the Cross-Section of US Returns

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Listed:
  • Ekaterini Panopoulou

    (Department of Economics, National University of Ireland, Maynooth)

  • Koubouros, M.

    (University of Peloponnese, Department of Economics, Greece)

  • Malliaropulos, D.

    (Department of Banking and Financial Management, University of Piraeus, and National Bank of)

Abstract

This paper decomposes the overall market (CAPM) risk into parts re.ecting uncertainty related to the long-run dynamics of portfolio-speci.c and market cash .ows and discount rates. We decompose market betas into four sub-betas (as- sociated with assets.and market.s cash .ows and discount rates) and we employ a discrete time version of the I-CAPM to derive a four-beta model. The model performs well in pricing average returns on single- and double-sorted portfolios ac- cording to size, book-to-market, dividend-price ratios and past risk, by producing high estimates for the explained cross-sectional variation in average returns and economically and statistically acceptable estimates for the coe¢ cient of relative risk aversion.

Suggested Citation

  • Ekaterini Panopoulou & Koubouros, M. & Malliaropulos, D., 2005. "Long-Run Cash-Flow and Discount-Rate Risks in the Cross-Section of US Returns," Economics Department Working Paper Series n1580505, Department of Economics, National University of Ireland - Maynooth.
    • Handle: RePEc:may:mayecw:n1580505
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Ekaterini Panopoulou & Michail Koubouros, 2005. "Intertemporal Market Risks and the Cross-Section of Greek Average Returns," Economics Department Working Paper Series n1611205, Department of Economics, National University of Ireland - Maynooth.
    2. Botshekan, Mahmoud & Kraeussl, Roman & Lucas, Andre, 2012. "Cash Flow and Discount Rate Risk in Up and Down Markets: What Is Actually Priced?," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 47(6), pages 1279-1301, December.
    3. John Y. Campbell & Christopher Polk & Tuomo Vuolteenaho, 2010. "Growth or Glamour? Fundamentals and Systematic Risk in Stock Returns," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 23(1), pages 305-344, January.
    4. Wu, Ming & Ohk, Kiyool & Ko, Kwangsoo, 2019. "Are cash-flow betas really bad? Evidence from the Greater Chinese stock markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 58-68.
    5. Bahel, Eric & Trudeau, Christian, 2014. "Stable lexicographic rules for shortest path games," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 125(2), pages 266-269.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    CAPM; cash-.ow risk; discount-rate risk; VAR-GARCH; BEKK; asset pricing;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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