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Testing the Growth Effects of Structural Change

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  • Jochen Kurt Hartwig

Abstract

Against the backdrop of Baumol's model of 'unbalanced growth', a recent strand of literature has presented models that manage to reconcile structural change with Kaldor's 'stylized fact' of the relative constancy of per-capita GDP growth. Another strand of literature goes beyond this, arguing that the expenditure shifts toward Baumol's 'stagnant' sector stimulate rather than dampen long-term economic growth because of the human capital-accumulating nature of major 'stagnant' services (like health care and education). This paper tests the relationship between structural change and economic growth empirically by means of a Granger-causality analysis of a panel of 18 OECD countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Jochen Kurt Hartwig, 2010. "Testing the Growth Effects of Structural Change," KOF Working papers 10-264, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
    • Handle: RePEc:kof:wpskof:10-264
    DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-010705340
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic growth; Structural change; Human capital; Panel Grangercausality tests;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • I10 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - General
    • I20 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - General
    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models

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