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Testing for Constant Hedge Ratios in Commodity Markets: A Multivariate GARCH Approach Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics GianCarlo Moschini () (Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) )
Robert J. Myers
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The authors develop a new multivariate GARCH parameterization that is suitable for testing the hypothesis that the optimal futures hedge ratio is constant over time, given that the joint distribution of cash and futures prices is characterized by autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity. The advantage of the new parameterization is that it allows for a flexible form of time-varying volatility, even under the null of a constant hedge ratio. The model is estimated using weekly corn prices. Statistical tests reject the null hypothesis of a constant hedge ratio and also reject the null that time variation in optimal hedge ratios can be explained solely by deterministic seasonality and time-to-maturity effects.
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Paper provided by Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University in its series Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications with number
01-wp268.
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Date of creation: Mar 2001Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:ias:cpaper:01-wp268Contact details of provider: Postal: 578 Heady Hall, Ames, Iowa 50011-1070 Phone: (515) 294-1183 Fax: (515) 294-6336 Email: Web page: http://www.card.iastate.edu/ More information through EDIRC
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References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.: Moschini, GianCarlo & Lapan, Harvey, 2002.
"Hedging Role of Options and Futures under Joint Price, Basis and Production Risk, The ,"
Staff General Research Papers
5137, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
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"Dynamic Hedging with Uncertain Production ,"
International Economic Review ,
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[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Lence, Sergio H., 1995.
"On the optimal hedge under unbiased futures prices ,"
Economics Letters ,
Elsevier, vol. 47(3-4), pages 385-388, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Baillie, Richard T & Myers, Robert J, 1991.
"Bivariate GARCH Estimation of the Optimal Commodity Futures Hedge ,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics ,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 6(2), pages 109-24, April-Jun.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Moschini, Giancarlo & Lapan, Harvey, 1995.
"The Hedging Role of Options and Futures under Joint Price, Basis, and Production Risk ,"
International Economic Review ,
Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 36(4), pages 1025-49, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Phillips, P C B, 1991.
"Optimal Inference in Cointegrated Systems ,"
Econometrica ,
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[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Anderson, Ronald W & Danthine, Jean-Pierre, 1983.
"The Time Pattern of Hedging and the Volatility of Futures Prices ,"
Review of Economic Studies ,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(2), pages 249-66, April.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Moschini, GianCarlo & Hennessy, David A., 2002.
"Uncertainty, Risk Aversion, and Risk Management for Agricultural Producers ,"
Staff General Research Papers
5323, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
Other versions:
Moschini, Giancarlo & Hennessy, David A., 2001.
"Uncertainty, risk aversion, and risk management for agricultural producers ,"
Handbook of Agricultural Economics ,
in: B. L. Gardner & G. C. Rausser (ed.), Handbook of Agricultural Economics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 2, pages 88-153
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Tim Bollerslev & Jeffrey Wooldridge, 1992.
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[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Lumsdaine, Robin L, 1996.
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Econometrica ,
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repec:cup:etheor:v:11:y:1995:i:1:p:122-50 is not listed on IDEAS
Lapan, Harvey E. & Moschini, Giancarlo & Hanson, Steve, 2003.
"Production Hedging and Speculative Decisions with Options and Future Markets ,"
Staff General Research Papers
10810, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
Cecchetti, Stephen G & Cumby, Robert E & Figlewski, Stephen, 1988.
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The Review of Economics and Statistics ,
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Other versions: Bollerslev, Tim, 1986.
"Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
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Sims, Christopher A & Stock, James H & Watson, Mark W, 1990.
"Inference in Linear Time Series Models with Some Unit Roots ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 58(1), pages 113-44, January.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Benninga, Simon & Eldor, Rafael & Zilcha, Itzhak, 1983.
"Optimal hedging in the futures market under price uncertainty ,"
Economics Letters ,
Elsevier, vol. 13(2-3), pages 141-145.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
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references Cited by : (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
Gregory Koutmos & Andreas Pericli & Lenos Trigeorgis, 2006.
"Short-term Dynamics in the Cyprus Stock Exchange ,"
European Journal of Finance ,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 12(3), pages 205-216, April.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Christos Floros & Dimitrios V. Vougas, 2004.
"Hedge ratios in Greek stock index futures market ,"
Applied Financial Economics ,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 14(15), pages 1125-1136, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Matteo Manera & Elisa Scarpa, 2006.
"Pricing and Hedging Illiquid Energy Derivatives:an Application to the JCC Index ,"
Working Papers
2006.130, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
[Downloadable!]
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