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Job Creation, Job Destruction and Voting Behavior in Poland

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Author Info
Smeets, Valerie () (Department of Economics, Aarhus School of Business)
Warzynski, Frederic () (Department of Economics, Aarhus School of Business)

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Abstract

This paper analyzes the effect of job creation and job destruction on the voting patterns of individuals in Poland during the 1997 and 2001 parliamentary elections. First, we link the votes

for the left wing party to the unemployment rate and the job creation and destruction rates in the constituency. We show that the job destruction rate and unemployment rate has a positive effect on the votes for the SLD, while the job creation rate has a negative effect. Second, we look at the effect of the change in job creation and job destruction rates on the change in the votes for individual candidates. We find that incumbents from the former right wing coalition received less votes if excess job

reallocation had increased in their constituency. Therefore, the paper provides evidence that job flows have a strong impact on

voting patterns and that the balance between the positive and negative effects of reforms determine to a large extent the political outcome.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 03-24.

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Length: 27 pages
Date of creation: 26 May 2003
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:hhs:aareco:2003_024

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Postal: The Aarhus School of Business, Prismet, Silkeborgvej 2, DK 8000 Aarhus C, Denmark
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Web page: http://www.asb.dk/departments/nat.aspx
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Related research
Keywords: Job creation; Job destruction; voting behavior; gradualism;

Other versions of this item:

Find related papers by JEL classification:
D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Models of Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
P26 - Economic Systems - - Socialist Systems and Transition Economies - - - Political Economy

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References listed on IDEAS
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  1. John E. Jackson & Jacek Klich & Krystyna Poznanska, 2003. "Economic transition and elections in Poland," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 11(1), pages 41-66, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Fidrmuc, Jan, 2000. "Political support for reforms: Economics of voting in transition countries," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 44(8), pages 1491-1513, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Frédéric Warzynski, 2003. "The causes and consequences of sector-level job flows in Poland ," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 11(2), pages 357-381, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Faggio, Giulia & Konings, Jozef, 2003. "Job creation, job destruction and employment growth in transition countries in the 90s," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 129-154, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
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