Optimal speed of transition with a shrinking labour force and under uncertainty
Abstract
In the 1990s - during the restructuring of large state enterprises - Central European economies experienced high unemployment. Social policy expenditures, particularly targeted to the non-employed, grew faster than expected due to the need to finance the "out-of-the-labour" categories. In 1992, after the Passive Labour Market Policies' reforms, the pace of transition decelerated. Unemployment dynamics, speed of transition and non-employment policies are modelled based on the assumption that the labour force is shrinking over time. Dismissed workers have the opportunity to choose an "outside-option" alternative to labour force participation. Individual uncertainty is assumed in a first phase of transition, while aggregate uncertainty - generating opposition to restructuring - is modelled in a second phase. The model predicts a slowdown in the speed of transition. Copyright (c) The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, 2006.Download Info
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Bibliographic Info
Article provided by The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development in its journal Economics of Transition.
Volume (Year): 14 (2006)
Issue (Month): 1 (03)
Pages: 69-100
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Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.Cited by:
- Balla, Katalin & Kollo, Janos & Simonovits, András, 2006.
"Transition with Heterogeneous Labor,"
IZA Discussion Papers
2179, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
- Balla, Katalin & Köllo, János & Simonovits, András, 2008. "Transition with heterogeneous labor," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 203-220, September.
- Münich, Daniel & Svejnar, Jan, 2007.
"Unemployment in East and West Europe,"
IZA Discussion Papers
2798, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
- Munich, Daniel & Svejnar, Jan, 2007. "Unemployment in East and West Europe," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(4), pages 681-694, August.
- Münich, Daniel & Svejnar, Jan, 2007. "Unemployment in East and West Europe," CEPR Discussion Papers 6315, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Marcello Signorelli & Enrico Marelli, 2007. "Institutional change, regional features and aggregate performance in eight EU’s transition countries," Quaderni del Dipartimento di Economia, Finanza e Statistica 37/2007, Università di Perugia, Dipartimento Economia, Finanza e Statistica.
- Michael Landesmann & Hermine Vidovic, 2006. "Employment Developments in Central and Eastern Europe," wiiw Research Reports 332, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
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