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European climate -- energy security nexus: A model based scenario analysis

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Author Info

  • Patrick Criqui

    () (LEPII - Laboratoire d'Économie de la Production et de l'Intégration Internationale - CNRS : FRE3389 - Université Pierre Mendès-France - Grenoble II)

  • Silvana Mima

    () (LEPII - Laboratoire d'Économie de la Production et de l'Intégration Internationale - CNRS : FRE3389 - Université Pierre Mendès-France - Grenoble II)

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    Abstract

    In this research, we provide an overview of the climate-security nexus in the European energy sector, through a model based analysis of scenarios produced with the POLES model. The scenarios describe the consequences of different degrees of GHG emission constraint, at world level, but also for a case where Europe adopts an ambitious climate policy, while the rest of the world sticks to much more modest abatement policies. The analysis shows that under such stringent climate policies, Europe may benefit of a significant double dividend, first in its capacity to develop a new cleaner and climate-friendlier energy model, and second in a lower vulnerability to potential price or supply shocks on the international energy markets.

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    File URL: http://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/docs/00/66/10/43/PDF/CR-EDDEN-1_PC-SM_2011.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by HAL in its series Post-Print with number halshs-00661043.

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    Date of creation: Feb 2012
    Date of revision:
    Publication status: Published, Energy Policy, 2012, 41, 1, 827-842
    Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00661043

    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: http://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-00661043
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    Web page: http://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/

    Related research

    Keywords: climate policy ; scenarios ; energy security;

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

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    1. Maggio, G. & Cacciola, G., 2009. "A variant of the Hubbert curve for world oil production forecasts," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(11), pages 4761-4770, November.
    2. Mohr, S.H. & Evans, G.M., 2010. "Long term prediction of unconventional oil production," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 265-276, January.
    3. Zecca, Antonio & Chiari, Luca, 2010. "Fossil-fuel constraints on global warming," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 1-3, January.
    4. Zhao, Lin & Feng, Lianyong & Hall, Charles A.S., 2009. "Is peakoilism coming?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(6), pages 2136-2138, June.
    5. Matutinovic, Igor, 2009. "Oil and the political economy of energy," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(11), pages 4251-4258, November.
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