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The slowing of growth in France: an interpretation based on Thirlwall’s law

Author

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  • Sébastien Charles

    (LED - Laboratoire d'Economie Dionysien - UP8 - Université Paris 8 Vincennes-Saint-Denis)

  • Thomas Dallery

    (CLERSÉ - Centre Lillois d’Études et de Recherches Sociologiques et Économiques - UMR 8019 - Université de Lille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Jonathan Marie

    (CEPN - Centre d'Economie de l'Université Paris Nord - LABEX ICCA - UP13 - Université Paris 13 - Université Sorbonne Nouvelle - Paris 3 - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - UPCité - Université Paris Cité - Université Sorbonne Paris Nord - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - Université Sorbonne Paris Nord)

Abstract

In this paper, we evaluate the French balance-of-payments constrained growth rate and we compare it with the effective growth rate. Empirically, we show that France is experiencing, simultaneously to its European integration, a substantial increase in the income elasticity of demand for imports and a collapse in the growth rate of its exports. Within the balance-of-payments constrained growth approach, this twofold negative effect is a major obstacle to true economic recovery and full employment.

Suggested Citation

  • Sébastien Charles & Thomas Dallery & Jonathan Marie, 2022. "The slowing of growth in France: an interpretation based on Thirlwall’s law," Post-Print hal-02905749, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02905749
    DOI: 10.1080/01603477.2020.1794903
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://sorbonne-paris-nord.hal.science/hal-02905749
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