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Long- and short-run balance of payments adjustment: Argentine economic growth constrained

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  • Guadalupe Fugarolas Alvarez-Ude
  • David Matesanz Gomez

Abstract

This article addresses insights on Argentina's slowness growth performance throughout the period 1968 to 2003 and, especially, on its recent crisis in 2002. Using time series unit roots tests, vector auto-regresive models and cointegration tests, this study deals with the effect of the external sector constraint on Argentinean output expansion and, in particular, with the empirical validation of a variant of Thirlwall's Law. The results suggest that, in the long-run, there exists a stable relationship between economic growth, exports and even terms of trade. These findings allow us to conclude that Argentina's international payments position constraints its economic activity.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Taylor & Francis Journals in its journal Applied Economics Letters.

Volume (Year): 15 (2008)
Issue (Month): 10 ()
Pages: 815-820

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Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:10:p:815-820

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Cited by:
  1. Anthony P. Thirlwall, 2011. "Balance of payments constrained growth models: history and overview," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 64(259), pages 307-351.

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