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Balance-of-payment constrained growth: the case of China, 1979-2002

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  • Yongbok Jeon
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    Abstract

    The aim of this study is to empirically test the validity of Thirlwall's Law in China during the reform period of 1979-2002. This study finds: (1) that for 1979-2002, the Chinese economy has grown on average as fast as Thirlwall's Law predicts - the average actual growth rate and predicted growth rate were, respectively, 9.25 and 8.55, which are statistically identical; (2) that the growth of GDP and of exports are cointegrated. Both (1) and (2) provide strong support for Thirlwall's Law in China during the reform period after 1978. The supportive result of Thirlwall's Law implies the relevance of a demand-side approach to the economic growth in China. For time series analyses, a bounds test approach is adopted.

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    File URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/02692170802700476
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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Taylor & Francis Journals in its journal International Review of Applied Economics.

    Volume (Year): 23 (2009)
    Issue (Month): 2 ()
    Pages: 135-146

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    Handle: RePEc:taf:irapec:v:23:y:2009:i:2:p:135-146

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    Related research

    Keywords: Chinese economy; balance-of-payment constrained growth; demand-led growth; bounds test for cointegration;

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    Cited by:
    1. Blecker, Robert A. & Ibarra, Carlos A., 2013. "Trade liberalization and the balance of payments constraint with intermediate imports: The case of Mexico revisited," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 33-47.

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